General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsRon Baiman (Ph. D.): U.S. 2016 Unadjusted Exit Poll Discrepancies.... (Affadavit)
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/319205877_Updated_Expanded_and_Corrected_Affidavit_Version_US_2016_Unadjusted_Exit_Poll_Discrepancies_Fit_Chronic_Republican_Vote_-_Count_Rigging_not_Random_Statistical_PatternsYou should really read this. It's findings are startling for both the Presidential and Senate races.
cloudbase
(5,511 posts)a panel of other statisticians.
Igel
(35,274 posts)I suspect that the interpretation isn't.
The key is the word "unadjusted." In the absence of a random sample, you need to adjust the data. Just declaring what's known to be non-random to be random doesn't cut it.
triron
(21,984 posts)The author is trained in mathematics and statistics. Why don't you address your criticism to him?
rgbecker
(4,820 posts)adjusts their numbers, as the election evening goes along, to reflect the actual Vote Count.
Biggest problem that I see is that the polling company does not release their unadjusted numbers and the professor must rely on getting screen shots of polling results during the evening.
It is so crazy. Why doesn't somebody with some integrity conduct an exit poll and really let people know what is going on. Some how the UN or US government conducts such polling in numerous foreign countries but we get nothing and are supposed to trust the Media and State govenrments to give us honest results.
RandomAccess
(5,210 posts)when media news outlets determined they apparently couldn't admit to election fraud right here in the U.S. and so started adjusting their exit polling "results" to fit the actual election results. It's been downhill ever since.
RandomAccess
(5,210 posts)THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!
Did I say "thank you" yet?
THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!
triron
(21,984 posts)You said it: "Read it".