Lamb Takes the Lead In Pennsylvanias 18th

[RandySF]

A new Monmouth University poll in Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district finds Conor Lamb (D) leading Rick Saccone, 51% to 45%, “if turnout yields a Democratic surge similar to voting patterns seen in other special elections over the past year.”

“Lamb also has the edge using a historical midterm lower turnout model, albeit by a much smaller 49% to 47% margin. A model with higher turnout overall, similar to a presidential electorate, gives Lamb a 51% to 44% advantage.”

“This marks a turnaround from last month’s Monmouth poll of the race, when Saccone held a small lead in all the models – 49% to 46% in the surge model, 48% to 44% in the high turnout model, and 50% to 45% in the low turnout model.”



https://politicalwire.com/2018/03/12/lamb-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvanias-18th/

[scheming daemons]

1. That's what it feels like on the ground here..... but I'm a pessimist at heart, politically.

Until the results come in, I won't believe.

I have *NEVER* been represented in the House of Representatives by a Democrat in my 50 years on this planet.... and I won't believe it until it comes true.

[bearsfootball516]

2. That's what I've gathered from people living there.

It's been a deep red district for a long time...but it just feels like Lamb is going to win.

[still_one]

3. As an outsider from California I like your assessment. But boy, would that be something if Lamb won

[spanone]

4. Ah! we're seeing the trump effect...

i predict don will be asked less and less to campaign for gop hopefuls.....it does no good when he shows up and talks about himself...non-stop

[bearsfootball516]

5. It has the opposite effect

Instead of bringing more conservatives to the polls, it angers area Democrats and moderates and drives them to the polls even more.

[Wounded Bear]

6. We all hope it's true, and works to get Lamb elected...

[NastyRiffraff]

7. This is starting to look good...

I'm VERY cautiously optimistic. Go PA-18. This is your moment!