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I just got a pit of the stomach bad feeling about PA-18 (Original Post) Siwsan Mar 2018 OP
Im worried too. LiberalLoner Mar 2018 #1
1%. Unbelievable Siwsan Mar 2018 #3
Losing faith? Codeine Mar 2018 #13
they are stealing it, i am turning it off, i know what is about to happen Eliot Rosewater Mar 2018 #2
U&me, us TheView monitors UTUSN Mar 2018 #4
You're not alone. Nt MANative Mar 2018 #5
MSNBC reporting 87% in GP6971 Mar 2018 #6
Lamb was never going to win big Awsi Dooger Mar 2018 #7
Me too. There's something fishy about a highly Republican county not sinkingfeeling Mar 2018 #8
You mean something тусклый? Siwsan Mar 2018 #9
There's no way to spin this as a win for Republicans budkin Mar 2018 #10
Agree! ananda Mar 2018 #11
yes, they're redistricting, radius777 Mar 2018 #15
We should not be having this discussion GulfCoast66 Mar 2018 #12
Exactly! Codeine Mar 2018 #14
I know what you mean. Its like watching the Patriots play. Orange Free State Mar 2018 #16
 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
13. Losing faith?
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:36 PM
Mar 2018

We’re competitive in a race that a little over a year ago we lost by what, 17%?

If anything my faith is being restored, even if Saccone squeaks out the win.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
7. Lamb was never going to win big
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:47 PM
Mar 2018

Need to barely hang on.

The early returns apparently led to assumption it would continue to widen. That's not the reality in a district with this type of natural tilt the other way.

ananda

(28,827 posts)
11. Agree!
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 09:57 PM
Mar 2018

Lamb has managed a 17 point swing for the Dems.

I hope he wins, but this is a good sign for November!!!

radius777

(3,635 posts)
15. yes, they're redistricting,
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:40 PM
Mar 2018

and Lamb will likley run in the more Dem leaning district, Saccone the more Repug leaning one.. so both guys may wind up in Congress after all...

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-pennsylvania-18th-special-election/
"Tuesday will likely be the last time you hear about a competitive district in the Pennsylvania 18th, but whoever emerges victorious in the special will likely have to fight hard to keep his seat in the regularly scheduled November 2018 election. How can this be? Earlier this year, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court struck down the state’s current congressional map as too gerrymandered in favor of the GOP; in February, the court imposed new district lines that are friendlier to Democrats. The new map splits most of the current 18th District between the new heavily Republican 14th District and the swingier, suburban 17th District.

If Saccone wins on Tuesday, he has said that he would seek re-election in the 14th, but if Lamb wins, he is expected to go after the 17th, even though he would have to face incumbent Republican Rep. Keith Rothfus there. Of course, the loser could decide to take a second bite of the apple in either the 14th or the 17th as well. After all these long hours of campaigning and millions of dollars spent, it’s entirely possible that, at the beginning of 2019, Conor Lamb and Rick Saccone will both be members of Congress.

Both will also have to decide their next moves almost immediately after the last drink is poured at their election-night watch parties on Tuesday. The deadline to file to run in November is March 20, one week later."

the fact that Lamb ran so strong shows that Drumpf's support is cratering even in conservative areas..

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
12. We should not be having this discussion
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:34 PM
Mar 2018

I past years the R runs unopposed and it is over and done.

We are never going to win many or any districts this red.

But many republican districts are not nearly this red.

Stealing this one would be a miracle.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
14. Exactly!
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:38 PM
Mar 2018

We’re over-performing wildly and people still can’t see that. Even a close loss is a win here.

Orange Free State

(611 posts)
16. I know what you mean. Its like watching the Patriots play.
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 10:42 PM
Mar 2018

You know they are going to get whatever last minute call or play that they need.

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