Remember: PA-18 IS HEAVILY GERRYMANDERED.

[berni_mccoy]

And gerrymandered in favor of repubs. Despite this, Lamb could win.

This will come down to absentee ballots and Allegheny County has more than half of them. Lamb won the regular vote in Allegheny with 57% of the vote.

Also remember these districts will be redrawn for THIS YEAR's election. PA will swing heavily blue this year.

[elleng]

1. and won't exist next vote, the district that is.

[Tatiana]

2. Exactly.

It is a carved-out, Republican district by design. There are so many Republican strongholds that it would be nearly impossible for anyone other than a Republican to win here.

Lamb is winning (**fingers crossed**) because Republicans are voting for him. These really aren't traditional Democrats. They're in Pittsburgh. These are people who voted for Trump that are switching and voting for Lamb because they actually like him.

[Freedomofspeech]

3. I knew effing Westmoreland County would screw this up...

We have to put the house on the market and get the hell out of here.

[PA Democrat]

11. I hear you. This county is nuts.

[Orange Free State]

12. I live in neighboring Fayette County

and it’s worse. Like Mississippi with fewer college degrees and crappier weather. Soon we will retire to Mexico and I won’t look back.

[Freedomofspeech]

15. I taught there for many years...

Loved my job there but now Westmoreland is basically Fayette, too.

[H2O Man]

4. Recommended.

It looks like it's going into overtime on the count. I think Lamb wins.

[berni_mccoy]

5. Agreed, he should be able to beat the 0.5% margin in absentee ballots.

A recount should be avoidable.

[lapfog_1]

6. latest calc shows that Lamb needs to win by 1121 to avoid recount

[Spider Jerusalem]

7. Automatic recount at .5% difference is only for state races, not federal offices (n/t)

[babylonsister]

8. Wow! Pittsburgh is the capital of Appalachia.

News to me. Did Kornacki say that?

[scheming daemons]

10. It is the largest city in Appalachia

[3catwoman3]

9. The shapes of some of the gerrymandered districts are like...

...pieces out of a jigsaw puzzle on a bad trip. My own district, Illinois 6, looks like a giant abstract letter C that has been chewed on by rats.

[uponit7771]

13. K&R

[Major Nikon]

14. The problem with gerrymandering is their entire house of cards could collapse

Everything can be wiped out in a blue wave. It also means districts they have packed with Democrats won't even need to compete.