Here's the Mountain RMoney Must Climb
As of today, here is how RCP breaks down the Electoral College Vote:
FYI - all Leans, Likely, and Solid states have been colored identically for ease of viewing.
Let's eliminate some of the borderline states:
NV and OH go to Obama (he leads in each by 5+ points) = 24 ECV
NC, IA, and NH can go to Romney (Romney leads only in NC, but IA is really close, and he did lead in NH for 8 solid months) = 25 ECV
So here's what Romney is left with, after my generous division of ECV: Obama @ 261 ECV / Romney @ 216 ECV.
Let's recolor again, and check the map:
You'll notice the 4 remaining states (CO, FL, VA, WI) are all light blue. That's because they were all won by Obama in 2008, and currently show Obama leading in 2012. Here's the kicker! If Obama wins even ONE of these four states, he hits or passes 270 ECV, and gets another 4 years.
Colorado and Florida are within reach for Romney--Obama leads there by less than 2%. Virginia is a bit tougher, and Obama leads by 3.2%. But Wisconsin has Obama up by 5.4% and while I think this makes the Ryan selection a little easier to understand, I still have to ask -- can Romney win Colorado, Florida, Virginia, AND Wisconsin?
Are you fucking joking me? 
= new reply since forum marked as read
thought this was a good point, made clearly, with slides (sort of) so it wasn't too wordy.
Should I have added a kitteh?
How about FIVE kittehs?
and your bonus kitteh (my favorite) :
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