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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIt's going to take more than one election to make America as great as it was before Trump
The nudge electionIts going to take more than one election to make America as great as it was before Trump
LUCIAN K. TRUSCOTT IV
NOVEMBER 3, 2018 12:00PM (UTC)
I was in Franklin, Tennessee for a week last month. With three weeks to go until the election, I saw exactly four campaign signs in the largely suburban yards I drove through. Two were for Phil Bredesen, the Democrat running for the senate seat vacated by the retiring Bob Corker. The other two were for Marsha Blackburn, the Republican member of the House running against him.
Franklin is the county seat of Williamson County, the county immediately to the south of, and adjacent to, Nashville. Williamson County is one of the wealthiest counties in the United States. In 2017, Forbes Magazine listed the county as the 7th wealthiest in the nation, with a median household income of $104,367. According to Forbes, more than half of its residents are college educated. The 2010 census found the county to be 91.5 per cent white, five percent black, and 2.5 percent Latino.
The county is hugely Republican. The votes in the elections of 2004, 2008, and 2012 were 70 percent Republican or more. But in 2016, the vote was 64 percent Republican. This year, the race for Senate is unusually close. According to Real Clear Politics, Republican Blackburn led Democrat Bredesen by 6.8 percent last week, polling at just under 50 percent, with Bredesen at 43 percent and just seven percent undecided. This in a state that Trump carried by 14 points.
Whats going on in Williamson County is whats going on all over the country, according to polling thats been done leading up to the midterm election next Tuesday. Williamson County is largely white, but its also largely suburban. There was an eight point drop off in the Republican vote between 2012 and 2016, from 72.6 percent Republican to 64.2 percent. If the polls for the race for the Senate in Tennessee this year are to be believed, the drop off will be even steeper.
I call it the embarrassment effect. Suburban voters in the case of Williamson County, white suburban voters are beginning to fall away from the Republican Party. Its not a steep drop, but its a downhill slide. I think some Republican voters, especially suburban voters, and most especially white suburban female voters, are becoming embarrassed by the Republican Party of Donald Trump.
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https://www.salon.com/2018/11/03/the-nudge-election/
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It's going to take more than one election to make America as great as it was before Trump (Original Post)
DonViejo
Nov 2018
OP
marble falls
(57,067 posts)1. Yep. Tuesday's the first of two more elections we need to take.
jmowreader
(50,552 posts)2. Three more
The entire Senate needs to be as cleansed of Republicans as we possibly can make it.
marble falls
(57,067 posts)3. Doh! Thats what I meant!!! Was thinking two more after Tuesday.