My Election Night Predictions

[RandySF]

Here we go. I am going to put my cards on the table and predict House flips and predictions of other kay races. I hope to be right on my most and wrong on others.

GOVERNOR FLIP:
Alaska (R)
Iowa (D)
Illinois(D)
Maine (D)
Michigan (D)
New Mexico (D)
Nevada (D)
Ohio (D)
Wisconsin (D)


SENATE FLIP:
Arizona (D)
Nevada (D)
North Dakota (R)

HOUSE FLIP TO D:
AZ-02
CA-10
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CO-06
FL-26
FL-27
IL=06
IL-14
IA-01
IA-03
KS-02
KS-03
ME-02
MI-08
MI-11
MN-02
MN-03
NM-02
NJ-02
NJ03
NJ-07
NJ-11
NY-19
NY-22
PA-01
PA-05
PA-06
PA-07
PA-10
PA-17
TX-07
TX-32
VA-02
VA-05
VA-07
VA-10
WA-08

HOUSE FLIP TO R:
MN-08
PA-14

STATE CHAMBER FLIP:
CO Senate (D)
ME Senate (D)
MI House (D)
MN House (D)
WI Senate (D)

[RandySF]

1. And no, I am nor spiking the football

I've spent several hours of the last two weeks on GOTV and more money in donations that I'll ever admit to my wife.

[Bleacher Creature]

2. Why no Gillum?? NT

[RandySF]

3. Florida's broken my heart too many time to count on it.

[vercetti2021]

4. I'll raise you that and give you

TX, TN for Senate flip and FLA for governor

[ProudLib72]

5. Fucking ND!

When it goes R, I hope we sue the living hell out of them for their bullshittery regarding natives!

[blue neen]

6. I don't know why you're calling PA-14 a flip to R?

It's basically an open seat.

[RandySF]

7. Open seat that Connor Lamb gave up

To run in PA-17

[blue neen]

8. Huh uh.

I'm in PA-14, and before the gerrymander corrections my Rep was Keith Rothfus.

[blue neen]

9. On edit, sorry I had the wrong map.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_12th_congressional_district#/media/File ennsylvania_US_Congressional_District_12_(since_2013).tif

This green one is correct. I was previously in PA-12, now in PA-14, though, and Keith Rothfus was my congress critter. I would not call this a flip from D to R.

[grantcart]

10. TX is going to flip its a Bobby Kennedy thing that transcends party and the models don't work

We could win TN. And lose NJ

Edited to add WA 5 as a flip. Rogers only beat Brown by 1% and that was before the tariffs became effective against the farmers.

[Danmel]

11. Hoping to add the NYS Senate to state chamber flip.

[Wounded Bear]

12. I think WA03 and WA05 might be in play, too...

Hope to get at least one of those.

[Polybius]

13. NY 11 is flipping to

Max Rose takes it.

[roamer65]

14. I have this gut feeling the US Senate will end up 50-50.

Maybe 51-49 Dem majority.