Election forecaster moves two more Republican seats into 'tossup' column and predicts 'blue wave'...

[Soph0571]

...could inundate as many as House 45 seats

A respected election forecaster is predicting a House gain of 30 to 40 seats is the most likely outcome – but a full-on blue wave could lead to a 45 seat takeover.

In a final memo before Tuesday's election, the Cook Political Report's race-by-race forecast moves two Republicans, Pennsylvania Rep. Scott Perry and Georgia's Karen Handel, into the tossup category.

Democrats would be two-thirds of the way to their needed 23 seat gain to capture the House just by picking up the seats that already lean their way.

In that case, they would need to pick up just eight of the remaining 30 pure 'tossup' races.
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But the nonpartisan analyst notes that in two years when control of Congress changed control, the 2016 Democratic and the 2010 'Tea Party' wave, the winning party rolled up 57 per cent of the tossups and all the races leaning their way, along with 19 per cent of the seats leaning the other way, along with 9 per cent of the other side's 'likely' seats.

Such a scenario would lead to a 40-seat Democratic gain, although, although polls this year have revealed enthusiasm among members of both political parties.

[link:https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6354813/Election-forecaster-predicts-blue-wave-inundate-House-45-seats.html|

You know when the Daily Mai is writing this through gritted teeth that there is something in it!!!!

[beachbum bob]

1. I am calling 60 seats or more as pollsters underestimating too many demographics

- under 30
- hispanics
- over 62


and women

[davsand]

2. I'd say trust the pollsters about as much as a diarrhea fart in an elevator.

Both are going to prove to be unreliable in the end.



Laura

[Scurrilous]

3. K&R