General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums*Holy Moly*Gallup returns to tradition and posts a generic ballot. The GOOD GUYS AND GALS are + 11
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YessirAtsaFact
(2,064 posts)This may be a very good evening for Democrats
hvn_nbr_2
(6,481 posts)Why is it "whoa worthy" that a polling firm posts a generic ballot poll? Generic ballot polls are everywhere in election season. Has Gallup traditionally avoided that particular polling question? Or what?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,705 posts)Ilsa
(61,675 posts)Could mean a big shot at picking up the house. Let's hope it holds.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)It was heavily cited. I remember in 1994, the first midterm I wagered on politics, both Gallup and Pew had Republicans ahead on the generic ballot but other firms disagreed and the average generic was a Democratic edge of about 3 points. Meanwhile the final number was Republicans +7.0.
I didn't know anything about Pew at the time but the midterm result immediately pointed me toward Pew as a sharp outfit. I have followed their surveys ever since. It is my favorite firm for overall knowledge of voting trends, including by generation.
Gallup is much more narrow focused and increasingly lazy. Now they still poll generic, but not nearly the frequency of other firms. Gallup has never polled individual races as often as other firms. They have settled into presidential approval ratings once a week as their stable. Obviously a lazy model that they feel comfortable trotting out time and again.
Gallup did have a generic ballot poll in mid September. That one showed a 9 point Democratic edge at 51-42