Democrats have slim hopes of flipping the Senate

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Democrats are feeling better about their chances of limiting GOP gains in the Senate as signs emerge that voter turnout on Tuesday could be exceptional for a midterm election.

While the party has slim hopes of winning the majority, Democrats think that if voter turnout is high, they may see a number of tightly fought races swing their way.

A new NBC News/Marist poll on Monday showed Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) up by 3 points in Missouri, after earlier polls showed her slipping.

Four new polls on Monday showed Sen. Bill Nelson (D) sitting on a solid lead in his reelection bid against Gov. Rick Scott in Florida, where Democrats hope their gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum will attract new voters to the polls.

And in Nevada, eye-popping early voting numbers among Democratic voters has even some GOP strategists conceding that incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) may lose.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/415091-democrats-have-slim-hopes-of-flipping-the-senate?userid=229233

[YessirAtsaFact]

1. If the Hill is giving us a chance, that's interesting

They strike me as having a big right-wing bias.

[FSogol]

2. We have a chance. Avoid defeatism. GOTV.

[Bfd]

4. Yup. "Hey, you hear that Michael Moore?!"

Positive over defeatism. Every damned day.

Of course, from The Hill ~ says it all.

[NurseJackie]

3. One-in-six is still a CHANCE... and better than zero.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Good way to look at it

As Nate Silver pointed out last night, you wouldn't board an airplane with a 14% chance to crash.

In balanced terrain the over/under on this senate lineup would have been a 5 seat loss. We shouldn't look at takeover as the only reference point. It was always a matter of surviving this cycle, given where these seats are and who holds them currently.

[Fullduplexxx]

5. Good old swill never pass up a chance to give the cons a little help

[gratuitous]

6. Realistically speaking, yes the Senate is a long shot

Don't be discouraged tomorrow if Democrats control the House but not the Senate. This year is a tough map for Democrats. 2020 will be even tougher for Republicans. The Nazis are going to be sweating beginning tomorrow. Let's make 'em sweat for two solid years before we take their lunch money, give them an atomic wedgie, and send 'em back under the rocks they crawled out from under. With votes!

[BumRushDaShow]

7. 'conceding that incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) may lose"

For the past 2 years, Heller's seat was also mentioned as being "the most vulnerable" for the GOP, yet the past couple months, that seemed to have been tempered for some reason (I don't know why, maybe Adelson?). We really need that seat.

[beachbum bob]

8. women, young people and hispanics and other minorities will determine if Dems win the senate or not

its all very possible, especially if pollsters models are as screwed up as I think