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Cnn exit polls. yehaaaaaaa (Original Post) brettdale Nov 2018 OP
and will probably get worse...... sunonmars Nov 2018 #1
I'm glad but? imanamerican63 Nov 2018 #2
Where? Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania? elleng Nov 2018 #5
Hi Ellen NewsCenter28 Nov 2018 #10
Thanks, NewsCenter28. elleng Nov 2018 #13
From where? elleng Nov 2018 #3
They have him at 44% approval. That's too high LuvLoogie Nov 2018 #4
Disagree strongly NewsCenter28 Nov 2018 #11
Both those times were before the districts were redrawn to fuck us. LuvLoogie Nov 2018 #20
More people voting are against him than for him. Tommy_Carcetti Nov 2018 #16
I think we need a solid 15 to 20 point spread to overcome the gerrymandering. LuvLoogie Nov 2018 #21
hope hope hope Laf.La.Dem. Nov 2018 #6
First time voters brettdale Nov 2018 #7
16% polled were first time voters. PA Democrat Nov 2018 #15
Don't believe exit polls. Vote still_one Nov 2018 #8
yeah, the gold standard for determining if an election is fair somehow doesn't work in america.... unblock Nov 2018 #9
Health care biggest issue by a margin.....41% sunonmars Nov 2018 #12
Saw that on CNN too NewsCenter28 Nov 2018 #14
I tend not to believe polls anymore. Tipperary Nov 2018 #17
Link and more info PA Democrat Nov 2018 #18
From a discussion I heard on NPR yesterday, I think we can discount exit polls due to the amount... Tarheel_Dem Nov 2018 #19

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
10. Hi Ellen
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:20 PM
Nov 2018

It's the national house exit poll from CNN. Dems seem to have a 11-17 point national house lead based on my guess.

elleng

(130,865 posts)
13. Thanks, NewsCenter28.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:26 PM
Nov 2018

Must say I'm not interested in 'national house' polls/statements/conclusions.

NewsCenter28

(1,835 posts)
11. Disagree strongly
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:20 PM
Nov 2018

It's lower than Bush in 2006 and Obama in 2010 who were both decimated by the midterms. Not sure why you think an approval rating needs to be under 40 for a Dem majority? What historical and scientific data do you use to support that claim? Traditionally, a vulnerable incumbent matches the president's approval rating at best in house races where the national environment is catastrophic for the ruling party, like this.

LuvLoogie

(6,995 posts)
20. Both those times were before the districts were redrawn to fuck us.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:13 PM
Nov 2018

This IS a referendum on trump. I think we need a 20 point approval vs disapproval spread in order to get a cushion in the house.

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,174 posts)
16. More people voting are against him than for him.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:28 PM
Nov 2018

Now, the voting approval rate is probably 4-7% higher than his general approval rate, meaning that there's 4-7% of people who dislike Trump who didn't bother to vote. That doesn't close the gap, though.

LuvLoogie

(6,995 posts)
21. I think we need a solid 15 to 20 point spread to overcome the gerrymandering.
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 08:16 PM
Nov 2018

That the Carolinas aren't at 70% plus turn out makes me want to buy canned goods.

PA Democrat

(13,225 posts)
18. Link and more info
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:33 PM
Nov 2018
Two-thirds of voters say their vote in today's congressional election is about Donald Trump, according to early exit polls, and more say they're showing up at the polls to express opposition than support for the President. The President's approval rating is net negative among the nation's voters, and more say things in the country are on the wrong track than that they are going in the right direction. Still, nearly 7 in 10 say the economy is in good shape, and those who say their personal finances are in better shape now than two years ago outnumber those who feel their finances have worsened.

About 4 in 10 voters turning out to vote across the country choose health care as the most important problem facing the country, and more, 7 in 10, say the nation's health care system needs major changes. About 2 in 10 each choose the economy and immigration as their top issue, and 1 in 10 say it's gun policy.

With a historically diverse slate of candidates on ballots nationwide, about half of voters say it's very important to them that more women are elected to public office and that more racial and ethnic minorities are elected.

A sizeable 1 in 6 voters say this election is the first time they're casting a ballot in a midterm contest.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/election-2018-exit-poll-analysis/ar-BBPpP4H

Tarheel_Dem

(31,233 posts)
19. From a discussion I heard on NPR yesterday, I think we can discount exit polls due to the amount...
Tue Nov 6, 2018, 06:43 PM
Nov 2018

of early voting that's already happened. Exit polls only gauge election day activity.

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