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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums538 numbers looking odd.. down to 75% chance on house,
Senate less than 5%. WtF?
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/?ex_cid=extra_banner
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538 numbers looking odd.. down to 75% chance on house, (Original Post)
NRaleighLiberal
Nov 2018
OP
Blaukraut
(5,689 posts)1. It's updating live as data comes in. Don't look at it!
If you want to retain sanity
agingdem
(7,754 posts)5. please explain
what does updating live as data comes in mean? I'm math-challenged so keep that in mind
Blaukraut
(5,689 posts)10. they factor in return numbers and adjust their odds n/t
unblock
(51,974 posts)2. Gonna be a long night....
And a long two years....
Really?
unblock
(51,974 posts)16. Yes, really. donnie will still be president.
I'm looking forward to winning the house, but it will still be a long two years....
blitzen
(4,572 posts)4. 96.6 % i just checked
krawhitham
(4,634 posts)8. down to 67.6%
renate
(13,776 posts)11. I'm having a flashback to 2016
This can't be normal.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)6. ignore that
blitzen
(4,572 posts)7. Senate shooting up... 32%
Polybius
(15,238 posts)9. The Senate chances at 538 likely dropped because of IN and TN
Still early though.
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)13. 68% now
I wasn't prepared for this drop, not after we hit 95%
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)14. Unbelievable...now 52.6%
I'm numb
NRaleighLiberal
(59,940 posts)17. Yup. Early, but...yikes
pnwmom
(108,925 posts)15. Now down to 1 in 2, with a 24 seat pick-up. nt
Liberty Belle
(9,528 posts)18. Shit. Now down to 2 in 5 for Dems in House.
3 in 5 for Reps. I want to vomit.
NRaleighLiberal
(59,940 posts)20. Wtf is going on? Getting wicked deja vu.
BumRushDaShow
(127,291 posts)19. STAY OFF OF 538
All it does is "live update" as data gets fed into it and there is a whole shitload of data that will be coming in all night long.
Liberty Belle
(9,528 posts)21. It just got better - now back to 4 in 7 for Dems in House.