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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTHE COOK POLITICAL REPORT PROJECTS KYRSTEN SINEMA THE WINNER OF THE ARIZONA SENATE RACE
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Projection: Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) has defeated Rep. Martha McSally (R) in #AZSEN. This thing has been over for a while.
manor321
(3,344 posts)Just kidding of course.
Cha
(295,899 posts)roamer65
(36,739 posts)Sue That POS Scott himself.
Wintryjade
(814 posts)unblock
(51,974 posts)it would become a 2-seat pickup for them if they take florida (still a toss-up) and hold mississippi (very likely for them).
Wintryjade
(814 posts)figuring it out. So, IF we get Nelson (he is still confident) and possibly Mississippi, then it stay 49-51
iluvtennis
(19,756 posts)So far we lost three, and so far Repigs hae lost two. Nelson . . . Repigs 1 or two in Senate. Nelson wins I figure the same odds as before, still Repigs still in the majority.
Wintryjade
(814 posts)It would have been totally awesome, but was way beyond the odds. But, if we hold it tight 2018 then 2020 will bring us a lot better chance.
DeminPennswoods
(15,246 posts)That makes it Rs +1
There's 2 elections outstanding, Nelson in FL and Espy in MS (runoff).
If Nelson wins and Espy loses or Nelson loses and Espy wins, it will be Rs +1 (52R-46D-2I)
If Nelson wins and Espy wins his runoff, then Senate will remain 51R-47D-2I (Sanders, King) who caucus with the Dems.
If Nelson and Espy both lose, then it's Rs+2 (53R-45D-2I)
Really, considering the 2018 Senate re-election map, for the GOP to gain only 2 seats, that isn't impressive.
Wintryjade
(814 posts)I agree with your assessment.
StevieM
(10,499 posts)Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)If this had been the Senate map two.years ago.it might have been a bloodbath.
AlexSFCA
(6,137 posts)the important focus for us should be state elections, governorships, secretary of state, legislatures, etc.
Bleacher Creature
(11,235 posts)Wash. state Desk Jet
(3,426 posts)BumRushDaShow
(127,270 posts)(from the link)
The lengthy vote-count process, which has continued long after the polls closed Nov. 6, is mostly due to the need to verify signatures for voters who vote by mail. To remain competitive, McSally needed to outperform all of her previous showings in Maricopa County, the state's most populous area and one that Sinema has dominated.
Sinema's campaign manager wrote in a statement that McSally would need a miracle to pull out a win. With the latest ballot count, Kyrstens lead is insurmountable," Andrew Piatt's statement said. "McSallys campaign said todays results would be her firewall but as we expected, no firewall emerged ... Kyrsten has now expanded her overall lead to 32,640 or 1.52 percent, meaning McSally would have to win the remainder of Maricopa County ballots by 22 percent to take the lead in this race. This is not plausible. Kyrsten will be declared the next U.S. Senator from Arizona.
<...>
As she lost ground to Sinema over the course of several days, McSally remained confident she would reverse the trend with the tabulation of early ballots dropped off at polling locations on Election Day, the so-called "firewall" referenced in Piatt's statement. Those numbers could be reflected in Sunday's tally. McSally fared better in the Sunday batch of votes from Maricopa County but once again trailed Sinemas total by 6.2 percentage points. On Saturday, Sinema led McSally by 7 percentage points among the 72,000 votes from Maricopa County tallied that day. Sinema won the Friday night voting reported by Maricopa County by 15 percentage points. Throughout the weekend, Sinemas net gain from Maricopa County gave her an additional 18,675 votes over McSally.
Wash. state Desk Jet
(3,426 posts)It seems after rereading the article the votes left to count are missing. I will assume that changes by the hour ! It's looking in Arizona !
BumRushDaShow
(127,270 posts)Wash. state Desk Jet
(3,426 posts)You know he did say he'll be back around in the second wave ! Perhaps now he thinks he is the second wave .
BumRushDaShow
(127,270 posts)Or 2nd tsunami...
iluvtennis
(19,756 posts)meluvrem
(22 posts)She is moderate, right of center.
Need to keep good eye on her.
We need all hands on deck to fight for decency and democracy
Grant Woods former AZ AG just became Dem due to it45.
VMA131Marine
(4,123 posts)She's been making up ground this whole time and it looks inevitable that she will take the lead.
sarge43
(28,939 posts)herding cats
(19,549 posts)Thank you! It's very welcome.
Zambero
(8,954 posts)DONE!