A possible 40 seat pickup for Democrats?

[Kingofalldems]

Link to tweet

[Laura PourMeADrink]

1. Outstanding. Those are just flips, right? How many Dem seats were kept?

[Eric J in MN]

2. He means there was a net increase of

...35-40 Democrats for the US House.

The net takes into account that we also lost seats.

[Kingofalldems]

3. I suspect a couple were lost but I haven't heard anything.

[Eric J in MN]

5. In MN US House races

...we gained two suburban seats and lost two rural seats for a net of zero.

[dbackjon]

39. I am baffled by the lost seats

[certainot]

43. it's the radio - still invisible to dems

[Eric J in MN]

48. In MN-1, Republicans ran a TV ad

...with a Jewish villain and a black villain:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/gop-ad-taps-anti-semitism-to-portray-george-soros-as-puppet-master

The district is very Christian and white.

[dbackjon]

54. Ugh That's awful

[zipplewrath]

4. A truck

I read the subject and I was thinking "Pickup Truck". I was trying to think what a 40 seat pickup truck would look like. I think they call that a bus.

[Kingofalldems]

6. Refresh.

[TomVilmer]

36. I found that 40 seat pickup truck

[Le Gaucher]

7. We need to pick up another 30 or 40 in 2020 .. Put congress out of reach

For the Russian teet suckers for a generation

[sandensea]

14. And the Senate.

Retaking the Senate is a must.

If Mitch McCocaine opts out of running next year, that'll be as good a sign as any that a Democratic majority is in fact about to happen.

His puffy, brittle ego could never stand the prospect of being demoted to Minority Leader.

[Adrahil]

16. Gerrymandering will make that tough. NT

[progressoid]

31. Not to mention a country chock full of morons and bigots.

[louis c]

33. Actually, the gerrymandering now helps us...

...let me explain. the Repukes put districts in a 55% to 45% Rep. advantage. But that outlook was that reliable, white collar, well educated suburban voters would always vote Republican. This past election proved otherwise. If those voters remain as a part of the Democratic coalition, those districts become reliably Democratic.

[Awsi Dooger]

42. Impossible

We can't pick off 30-40 seats back to back, not without even more GOP retirements than this time, and it's guaranteed to be many fewer, not many more.

The most favorable seats just fell our way and some of them are immediately vulnerable to flip back.

The generic House margin dictates everything, not the status of individual races themselves. Unless independents slant as heavily in our direction in they did this time, we'll be fortunate to maintain this number, let alone gain.

Let's understand how successful 2018 was. Trying to pretend we can win another 30-40 seats is like pretending we could regain the senate in 2018.

[IronLionZion]

45. If you're worried about gerrymandering, work to win the state legislatures

because they will draw the district lines after the 2020 census.

People move. Demographics have changed in many areas making them more competitive, especially in many suburban areas. Gentrification in many cities have encouraged lower income minorities to move to the suburbs. And many African-Americans from the rust belt have been moving to states in the south and west for quite some time making the more competitive.

[Adrahil]

46. Sadly, here in Indiana, the state legislature is terrible...

The repugs have engineered a supermajority in both houses.

[Codeine]

49. We had a lot of squeakers this year

that are going to be vulnerable to flipping back next time, especially if the deplorables are energized to give the Tangerine Idi Amin another four years. Flipping another enormous batch of seats is somewhat less than realistic.

[Le Gaucher]

51. No its doable .. We undo the gerrymandered district as we have more

State level control..

Hopegully Trump and Republicans are glowing with radioactivity.

Convince a lot of white working class that Trump is indeed full of shot.

And it all in the GOTV game ... Polls dont fucking matter one bit.

You will be surprised how well can do

[Wintryjade]

8. Sounds like a blue wave of adults. 2020 Will/can be the Presidency and the Senate.

And State. We need our states. Then start unraveling the courts.

Progression for progressives.

[NewJeffCT]

11. the Senate map is much better for Democrats in 2020

Doug Jones is the only Democrat in a heavily red state.

A lot more Republicans have to defend seats in 2020, though a good number seem to be pretty safe numbers-wise. Corey Gardner of Colorado is probably the top target for Democrats. I think Perdue, Tillis and Ernst are possible if we can get good candidates.

[Wintryjade]

12. Right. Jones might surprise us. And yes, 2020 is way better for the Senate.

[NewJeffCT]

13. still not a great map

too many Republicans sitting in deep red states up for re-election. Hopefully, we can get a few more Republican retirements and get some exciting newcomers in some of those states. And, maybe Beto can knock off Cornyn?

Oh, and we have Susan Collins up in 2020 as well.

[Wintryjade]

15. With this mess of a crowd, both President and Republican Party, who knows what will happen next 2 yr

[griloco]

25. Deep red..like Arizona?

[jcgoldie]

21. Don't forget Collins

I'm very concerned for her...

[Chickensoup]

9. You forgot to mention that elections

have consequences !!!

[Kingofalldems]

10. Yep.

[Buckeyeblue]

17. Where is Carville to walk back his sour puss last Tuesday?

[Cha]

19. lol.. Exactly!.. and Tapper.

[Kingofalldems]

29. He was following orders from his Trumpie wife.

[Cha]

18. Oh Yeah There's Is a BIG BLUE WAVE!

[spooky3]

27. Cha, that eagle must have no taste buds. But

I hope he got in a solid bite.

[Cha]

28. Eagles don't like Traitors to the USA!

Spooky!

[spooky3]

30. Neither do we!! Hope all's well!! Nt

[malaise]

38. I love the flying MAGAZINE cap

[Wounded Bear]

22. That's kind of what "since" means...

[Kaleva]

32. Biggest pickup of seats in over 40 years is a big deal.

[George II]

23. I can see it with the half dozen or so that are still outstanding.

[Turbineguy]

26. I'm cool with that!

We might yet get lucky, some repub senators get some backbone and they can stick a fork in trump.

[Scruffy1]

41. They will only if he is screwing with their chance of getting reelected.

If they think backing him will cost them their seat they will get their knives out and we'll hear a lot of the "thing" saying
"et tu". It's kind of a good news bad news thing and might make it harder to flip the Senate. I'm hoping they stick with the "name I won't mention" until the bitter end. Generally most presidents lose popularity over the course of their term and he's been underwater a long time. Even most"deep red" states have about 40% Democrats so you only have to change 5% of the voters minds to have a competitive race. Beto proved that a good candidate can be competitive in a Red State if you don't run as a Republican. It's time to quit being afraid of the Red State label. They are human,too and face the same problems as the rest of us.

[AlexSFCA]

34. and dont forget AZ and NV, possibly FL

and now all eyes and efforts on MS senate runoff where we need record turnout to get dem senator elected, much higher than on nov 6. With all said and done, senate may not look all the bad. It was definite blue wave but, hopefully, blue tsunami is coming in 2020.

[IronLionZion]

35. I remember a lot of DUers claiming the house was hopelessly gerrymandered

and that we should give up

[malaise]

37. Bwaaaaaaaah

The most important thing is not to forget

[bearsfootball516]

53. I remember DUers citing an article that said we needed to win by 10-11 points just to break even.

I tried telling them that the article was bogus.

[California_Republic]

44. California's 21st Congressional District Is getting close

Already been called for R.

[Scurrilous]

47. K&R

[Garrett78]

50. And many more if not for gerrymandering.

[Kingofalldems]

52. Now at 39 I believe.

Correct me if I am wrong.

[Scurrilous]

55. K&R

[Kingofalldems]

56. Looks like we have +40 seats.

A big win for Trump!!!11!!