General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhat the 2020 electoral map would look like, if Tuesday's results remain the same:
The map was prepared by Princeton's Sam Wang.
Read more at: http://election.princeton.edu/2018/11/07/electoral-maps-based-on-2018-results/
NNadir
(33,368 posts)...political outcomes, as both the Kerry and Clinton Landslides show.
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,271 posts)EleanorR
(2,373 posts)Gave us trump. STOLEN
mwooldri
(10,291 posts)For some strange reason, the Democrats did not put up a candidate in District 3. Thus Walter Jones was returned with all of the votes cast.
So if one did add up all the votes for R and D in the congressional races and said that is how NC would vote... well a significant part of the population didn't get to vote for a D because there was no D to vote for.
If the NC Democratic Party gets a good ground game going for 2020 then NC is definitely in play for the Presidential election.
Takket
(21,421 posts)tandem5
(2,072 posts)We need at least the governorship to rein in the "irregularities" and suppression.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)By my count, we have 210 electoral votes in the bag (I'm including Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico and Virginia). Republicans have 126 (198 if you consider Texas, Ohio and Georgia out of reach).
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Iowa and Arizona are easily the shaky ones on that list.
Florida has to be favored GOP, unless our candidate wins by 3+ points nationally.
IMO, Trump can't win Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania unless he wins the national popular vote, instead of losing by 2+ points like 2016. He might have to win nationally by 2+ points to carry those states.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)If we win WI, MI, PA and MN, we get to 278. If we lose a single one of those and don't win any other battleground states (of which there are very few), we fall short. And that's assuming our nominee will definitely win NV, CO, NM and VA.
I like our chances, but the electoral college certainly gives the Republican nominee (presumably Trump in 2020) a pretty decent shot. Even more infuriating is the fact that about 40% of the Senate seats are locked up by Republicans, whereas we have maybe 30%.