final tally should be a 39 seat pickup in the house!

[unblock]

we are currently up 36 seats.

there are 6 races remaining that are not yet called. *all* of them are currently held by republicans.
we are currently ahead in 3 of them, so if we win these 3, that's 3 more seats to bring our total to 39 seats.

that's a better result than most models predicted.

"bounce:

so much for the blue wave fizzling out.




some savvy posters here warned that the election results could be a drawn-out affair, especially regarding california.

excellent call on that point!

[marybourg]

1. I was "planning" on 40.

[bearsfootball516]

2. FiveThirtyEight predicted a 39-seat swing the night before the election.

They still have it up.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

[jcgoldie]

4. 538 is solid

But their live blog continuously updating house percentages on election night stressed me the hell out.

[Adrahil]

10. Yeah... never watching THAT again. By 8, I was despondent. NT

[malaise]

11. They did not stress me out at all

They are the best in the business. I was absolutely certain of the House victory.

[jcgoldie]

12. I agree they are the best

Thats why it was stressful when their live percentages bounced below 40% of dems taking the house on election night.

[malaise]

13. I ignored the blog

That's why I was fine.

[unblock]

6. yeah, they did well. crystal ball (sabato) and the new york times both had +34.

[Crutchez_CuiBono]

3. We really smoked them. And should continue. We all know what it takes now.

Good good job to everyone who made a difference and voted!

[libdem4life]

5. This is the reverse of California's influence on Presidential elections.

A thorn in the side of many Californians due to time zones. As in, often it's already decided before the vote count is in, and the fear that it discourages voters to make the effort to go vote. Can negatively influence down ballot races.

For decades the request to hold all vote counting/reporting until all time zones have voted. Doesn't seem likely, however.

Yeah for the Blue Wave...may it continue to engulf the weary Tumpanzees.

[California_Republic]

7. California CD 21. Long shot. Kern Co Reports Monday

Cox (D) is closing the gap.

[winstars]

8. Yes! This is a long shot but it could happen. Go Cox!!!!

[Initech]

9. And we could totally annihilate the GOP in Orange County!

https://kpax.com/cnn-us-politics/2018/11/15/democrat-gil-cisneros-takes-the-lead-over-republican-young-kim-in-california-house-race/