Black Women Decided the 2016 Democratic Nominee

[Gothmog]

I know that this was true in Texas and in all of the Super Tuesday primary states https://politicalwire.com/2018/12/03/black-women-decided-the-2016-democratic-nominee/

“The biggest missed political opportunity in recent memory is probably Deval Patrick’s decision, after losing quite a bit of sleep, not to run for president in 2016.”

“At the time, the path seemed fairly clear: The former Massachusetts governor could run as Barack Obama had, on unifying optimism, progressive politics, and a strong connection to the black voters who make up a pillar of the primary electorate.”

“Hillary Clinton’s team was quietly afraid of him. One reason for that is obvious: Clinton was a far weaker candidate than the media and Democratic establishment thought.”

“The other possible reason just as obvious, but less discussed: Patrick could have won the primary. The Democratic primaries, as they are currently built, favor a black candidate. The winning formula in recent years has been to build a coalition from older black voters plus another group: white progressives for Obama; white moderates for Clinton. And the Democratic electorates in Deep South states, which vote early in the primary process, are dominated by black voters. That was where Clinton won in 2016, despite no particular attention to the region, and where Bernie Sanders lost it.”

I suspect that this characterization will also hold true for 2020

[Garrett78]

1. Patrick's connection to Bain Capital is problematic.

[metroins]

2. Not really

Most people don't care about that or know what it is.

[Garrett78]

4. They will if he runs.

[Gothmog]

3. The key issue is that the 2016 nominee was selected by Black Women and the 2020 nominee will also

be selected by Black Women.

[Garrett78]

5. I understand that. I like Kamala's chances.