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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMcConnell Underwater in Kentucky
McConnell Underwater in Kentucky
February 21, 2019 at 3:26 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 130 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2019/02/21/mcconnell-underwater-in-kentucky/
"SNIP....
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Kentucky finds just 33% of voters approve of the job Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is doing, while 56% disapprove and 11% are unsure.
.....SNIP"
ProfessorGAC
(64,425 posts)Just hazarding a guess. Maybe in conjunction with the shutdown?
marble falls
(56,359 posts)"Beto" or "Beta"?
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)From what a few people have written about him an DU, he is a real liberal and really sharp guy.
Cha
(295,926 posts)https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/03/25/adam-jones-kentucky-mitch-mcconnell-sports-radio-217656
Polybius
(15,239 posts)We might need to nominate Manchin II, I fear.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Kentucky has places like Louisville and Lexington and other places where universities are located. Most of the state's population is in those places, but their voting percent records are dismal. People need to realize that people that vote get to make the rules, until we as progressives take that to heart and vote in every election, we will continue to complains about asinine republican policies.
Stonepounder
(4,033 posts)The Rethugs have done a job gerrymandering the state to hold the legislature, but until the Trump debacle, while the legislature was GOP, the Executive was Democrats. For quite a while, the top three, Gov. Lt. Gov and AG, were Dems. The thing with The Turtle is that he access to a huge pipeline of money. His wife's father is a shipping magnate and very wealthy, and McConnell also seemingly has a pipeline into Russian Oligarch money that gets laundered through a number of shell Corporations.
sheshe2
(83,354 posts)I liked Allison Lundergan Grimes.
Cha
(295,926 posts)https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/03/25/adam-jones-kentucky-mitch-mcconnell-sports-radio-217656
This Liberal Sports Radio Host Thinks He Can Take Down Mitch McConnell
He might be right.
Boom.
Let's make it so, Cha. Mitch needs to go!
California_Republic
(1,826 posts)question everything
(47,271 posts)Initech
(99,915 posts)TheCowsCameHome
(40,163 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(26,272 posts)MagickMuffin
(15,892 posts)* definition (something without use or value)
peas/pods
guillaumeb
(42,641 posts)1) Would these dissatisfied, and presumably GOP, voters actually vote for a Democrat, and
2) Will McConnell have a GOP challenger?
madville
(7,397 posts)1) No
2) No
He had the same bad numbers in 2014 and easily beat Grimes 57-42.
Polybius
(15,239 posts)He might have a GOP challenger.
madville
(7,397 posts)Is that 30-40% typically think he is not conservative enough, think about that a minute, those people that dislike him want a Republican farther to the right. Trump is gonna have GOP challengers but none will get over 5% support, he's too popular in the GOP. Primary voters are a different breed than general election voters though. I doubt McConnell is vulnerable in a potential KY GOP primary, he'll pander to the base leading up to the election, get 60-70% in the primary and Trump will probably make a friendly campaign stop for the general.
All these same polls and articles were done in 2014 and had near identical numbers. PPP skews quite a bit to the left as well, their polling in red states is usually 5-10% left of the final results so I consider that error when looking at their data. In 2014 for example, PPP had McConnell +8 right before the election, he won by +15.
klook
(12,134 posts)smirkymonkey
(63,221 posts)How much more to the right can you get than Mitch McConnell?
Polybius
(15,239 posts)Jesse Helms was 10 times further right. In 2019, Cruz and several others are to his right as well.
madville
(7,397 posts)KY went to Trump 62% to 32% for Clinton, McConnell will get a good boost from the turnout.
McConnell had the exact same horrible favorability numbers in 2014 and still beat Grimes by 15%, 57-42. PPP pretty much wrote the exact same article in 2014 also:
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/democrats-within-striking-distance-of-mitch-mcconnell-for-2014/
Takket
(21,425 posts)people often confuse "disapprove of" with "won't vote for".
spooky3
(34,303 posts)than "would prefer someone even more right-wing and loathsome."
madville
(7,397 posts)A large portion of the people that disapprove of McConnell in these polls feel that way because they don't think he is conservative enough..........They don't usually consider the Democrat as an answer to that particular problem.
INdemo
(6,994 posts)It was a tug of war. Neck and Neck...then all of a sudden McConnell won by 15%...something was wrong there.
A candidate doesn't gain 11 or 12 percent about the average polling in two days....
I think he could be beat but the challenger must have be able to have an excellent staff to guard against vote flipping etc.
madville
(7,397 posts)They weren't really tied leading up to the election, average from 10/15/14 until election day was McConnell +7.2%. There were some polls months before the election in the margin of error but the gap steadily widened in polling through September and October 2014.
Same thing that year with Abbott and Davis in TX. There were early polls that showed Wendy within 6-8% but as the election draws closer the gap steadily widens and she lost by 20% to Abbott.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ky/kentucky_senate_mcconnell_vs_grimes-3485.html
ffr
(22,649 posts)Lonestarblue
(9,880 posts)I lived in Kentucky for years, and I dont recall McConnell ever having more than 50% approval. Yet somehow he has always won, with rumors of some vote buying and various other activities that have never been proven. Amy McGrath ran a strong campaign against Andy Barr for the Ky 6th district. Barr comes from a wealthy, politically powerful family in the area. Now that McGrath has more name recognition, she might be a good candidate to take on McConnell.
madville
(7,397 posts)because a large portion of the voters think he isn't conservative enough.
JudyM
(29,122 posts)ashling
(25,771 posts)SoCalDem
(103,856 posts)zentrum
(9,865 posts)...the most powerful men in the country, and one of the most evil. I'm amazed. Could there really be a ray of hope?
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,280 posts)madville
(7,397 posts)I'm not saying the 15% gap from 2014 can't be narrowed, he could only win by 5-10% this go around.
Ford_Prefect
(7,828 posts)INdemo
(6,994 posts)fact that he might have had Putin's help back then. How did 2.5 Mill of Russian money end up in his PAC..He doesn't even hide that
Hermit-The-Prog
(33,041 posts)I was hoping to read about cops dragging McTurtle out of Green River.
rufus dog
(8,419 posts)GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)Not a Kentuckian but went to college there and still have family living there.
A large percentage of his disapproval is from hard core Limbaugh listeners. Who dont think Mitch has supported trump enough. Outside of Louisville and Lexington there are nothing but evangelical rubes. Ok, Im sure there are some on DU who dont match that description, but they are rare.
They arent voting Democratic.
mwooldri
(10,291 posts)Approval ratings matter not. There are plenty of people who do not approve of the job XYZ person is doing, but will vote for them again because they have a R or D by their name.
defacto7
(13,485 posts)Fuzzpope
(602 posts)Y E A H
Buckeyeblue
(5,491 posts)Neither 45 nor McConnell have done a thing for Kentucky.