Q-Poll: Obama leads by 7 in CT & McMahon by 3 in senate race
President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 - 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12 percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind.
The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 - 38 percent while men back Romney 53 - 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 - 49 percent split among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president.
Obama gets a 51 - 46 percent favorability while Romney has a negative 41 - 44 percent. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a negative 38 - 43 percent favorability, compared to a negative 30 - 33 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan. Another 37 percent don't know enough about Romney's running mate to form an opinion.
The economy will be "extremely important" to their presidential vote, 58 percent of voters say, higher than any other issue. Medicare will be "extremely important," 41 percent say.
Romney would do a better job on the economy, Connecticut voters say 49 - 44 percent. Obama would be better on Medicare, voters say 51 - 41 percent.
"Although President Barack Obama is ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney, his 7-point lead is a far cry from his 23-point victory in 2008 over John McCain. We shouldn't, however, expect to see the candidates campaigning in Connecticut, which hasn't voted for a Republican since 1988," Dr. Schwartz said.
"This smaller than expected margin for Obama could affect the Senate race. The Murphy campaign is hoping to benefit from Obama's coattails, but right now they are not very long."
Connecticut likely voters put Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon on the right side of a 49 - 46 percent too-close-to-call U.S. Senate race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This is the first look at likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.
In today's survey, McMahon's 54 - 42 percent lead among men swamps Murphy's small 50 - 46 percent lead among women. McMahon leads 88 - 10 percent among Republicans and 55 - 40 percent among independent voters, while Murphy takes Democrats 82 - 16 percent.
From August 22 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,472 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1790
they do provide demographics:
PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
LIKELY VOTERS........
Weighted UnWeighted
Percent Frequency
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 22% 329
Democrat 33 501
Independent 40 587
Other/DK/NA 5 55
PHONE DISTRIBUTION
Cell only 7% 81
Land Line only 13 123
Both, cmp from cell sample 13 188
Both, cmp from land sample 66 1080
RACE
White 81% 1315
Black 6 49
Hispanic 7 40
Other/DK/NA 5 68
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