General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWould impeachment of Trump be a positive or negative for Republicans?
Would Republicans rush to the polls to defend Donald Trump from the "evil" Democrats?
Would Democrats be making a major blunder if they impeached Donald Trump?
Those are a couple of concerns that we hear every day.
In my opinion, the opposite is true in both instances. Republicans will not rush to the polls to defend Donald Trump and it could be a major blunder if Democrats do not impeach Trump.
Instead, I think many Republicans would be punished by their voters if they voted to not impeach. I refuse to believe that the entire Republican Party supports the politics and the divisive language of Donald Trump. In my opinion, many would show their disgust at the polls if their Party defended Trump.
If impeachment does happen, I believe Democrats will enlarge their majority in the House and will take back the US Senate by a healthy margin.
If impeachment does not happen, both the House and Senate will be up for grabs, as well as the Presidency.
Although this has been discussed many times here, it is important that we continue to look at it from a new perspective. Facts change and circumstances change.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)When we elect people too afraid to do their job? I could care less on the impact on trump supporters. ITS OUR VOTERS that will make us pay in Nov 2020 with continued inaction. Zero reason why an impeachment inquiry not underway against Barr...and others right now
Maxheader
(4,372 posts)be beneficial?
If the liberals had the votes...in the congress and senate...they would kick the moron out...
kentuck
(111,079 posts)Will Republicans pay a price if they vote to not impeach Trump?
In my opinion, they will.
lame54
(35,284 posts)Remove the tumor and also refuses to sew you back up
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Huge. Possibly unbeatably huge.
kentuck
(111,079 posts)I think new facts and circumstances are coming to light as we speak.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)KPN
(15,642 posts)Ligyron
(7,627 posts)They're going to vote for him anyway.
Dem legislators not doing their job and feeding the "Dems are weak" perception may well discourage many who would otherwise vote for our candidate(s).
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Then let Mitch McFuckface acquit Turd. After a giant pile of evidence and testimony makes it perfectly obvious that Turd is a career criminal.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)I just want a constant drip of bad news for Trump right through next November.
world wide wally
(21,740 posts)Not impeaching will be taken as a sign of acquiescence and weakness and give Trump room to lie about his record (as if he needs room to lie more).
kentuck
(111,079 posts)"If the Democrats had found anything, they would have impeached! I have been totally exonerated!"
Bettie
(16,089 posts)it will hurt us in the election. Democrats too afraid to do anything.
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)Americans disinterested in what they see as partisan politics outside the bubble of their own stuff will think Dems over-reached. The believers double down in the face of facts anyway.
Impeachment without conviction is no kinda impeachment at all.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)Way more on the line. If we give fodder to republicans and rally republicans politically against a political spectacle we lose our chance to save ourselves.
Winning the election is of utmost importance.
You have to be living in alternate universe to think it impeachment without conviction helps us in any way.
Keep eyes on the ball. Remove the fucker. We must do that. Impeachment does not remove him.
kentuck
(111,079 posts)Impeachment has never removed an American president, so it's not about having the votes to remove. It's about having the votes to hold him accountable.
To not impeach is a bigger gamble that he will serve a second term. Democrats will not be inspired.
spanone
(135,823 posts)boston bean
(36,221 posts)FACT.
Our only chance to remove him is to vote him out.
My opinion, not based in fear, but in reality is that he has 40% of this country that is strongly backing him in states that are less favorable to us and impeachment will make them stronger not weaker. The electoral college is what we need to win. We do not need a political side show going on when we need all attention on our candidates. Let the orange anus crimes hang over his head and give him no line of attack with the media. My god he wold love nothing more than having that spectacle a la Bill Clinton. He would be the victim. His favorite role to play. All the while his republican fascist friends in power continue to back him. There is zero evidence republicans would turn on him if impeached.
It is a loser for us. It will not help us. It can strengthen him.
Have you been living in the same world as me the last 2 plus years?
kentuck
(111,079 posts)..your opinion, man.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)kentuck
(111,079 posts)The one fact we know for sure is that Donald Trump will say that Democrats had nothing or they would have impeached. He will continue to call it a hoax and a witch hunt. He will declare himself totally exonerated. Those are facts you can count on.
durablend
(7,460 posts)If you think the other side will stay home if he's not impeached. Like the other person said, for the next 16 months he'll be bleating "If Democrats had anything on me they would've impeached! Clearly they're just sore for losing!"
Turin_C3PO
(13,964 posts)Of course well never know until it happens but I think it will help our side to impeach him because impeachment hearings will win over some people on the fence about Trump. His base is going to come out to vote, impeachment or not.
Meadowoak
(5,545 posts)We lose in 2020 anyway, because the Democrats will stay home. Of course the Republicans will crawl through broken glass to get to the polls, always have and always will. If we don't impeach, Trump will get a second term.
sagesnow
(2,824 posts)I agree. We need to keep our eyes on the 2020 prize.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,585 posts)Millennials turn out, along with POC, will determine the outcome of this election- they need to be motivated to get to the polls- if Congress abandons their sworn duty to defend the Constitution, millennials will abandon them at the ballot box.
KPN
(15,642 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,585 posts)Without voting on articles of impeachment, but merely opening an inquiry and holding relentless hearings using ruthless tactics against all those who obstruct, Trumps crimes would be front and Center for the whole year leading up to the election.
The public would need repeated exposure to intense, Maddow-esque examination of all the separation of powers violations that are happening daily- I sincerely believe that a large number of American dont understand the concept of co-equal branches of government (they probably cant even name the branches). So fall 2019/winter 2020, Theyll need to be educated, so their education can inform their outrage- thats the purpose of the hearings.
The Senate would be powerless, since no bill of impeachment would be sent to them, until maybe just before/after Election Day. But if Pelosi teases weekly we could be ready to vote on articles any day now, the senate needs to prepare for a trial, think of the intense pressure on Mitch and all the GOP senators up for re-election...
All through the primaries and the general, Dems could say we dont know who our opponent will be- Trump could be gone tomorrow!
It would drive Trump crazy, maybe to the point of doing something so extreme, he would lose millions of votes.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Destroy Turd every day from now until Election Day. Let McTurtle have his sham vote (or refuse to vote) after it's too late.
Although, to be honest, I don't think "separation of powers" is going to get many people riled up. "Crimes against humanity" will, as will "Racketeering," "Tax evasion," "Election theft" and "Russian saboteur" will probably attract more attention.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)KPN
(15,642 posts)they'll, just use us not impeaching against us; in two ways:
1) they'll say we didn't have a case, we couldn't show collusion or obstruction because there wasn't any and that's why we didn't impeach;
2) and then they'll blabber on and on about how weak and ineffective we are, controlling the House but dithering about and dallying with a "never-ending witch-hunt" rather than taking care of the people's business.
Not impeaching will lose at least the WH for us and possibly the House!
marble falls
(57,077 posts)deplorables and if the Trump goes down they get rid of him, too.
watoos
(7,142 posts)Speaker Pelosi is opposed to impeachment.
There are other benefits to holding an impeachment inquiry, Dems would certainly have a case to get the grand jury information where all of the juicy testimony is.
Holding an impeachment hearing would keep the narrative where Democrats want it to be. One thing that Trump is good at is controlling the narrative, he would not be able to do that during an impeachment hearing, short of a war with Iran.
It has always been an easy choice for me. Are their grounds for impeachment? If there are then it is the duty of Congress to impeach. As Republican turned Independent Justin Amash said, the danger isn't that we use impeachment too often, the danger is that we don't use it enough which will encourage presidents to abuse their power.
AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)File with the court to unseal the 6E material.
They don't get special super powers for 6E by route of impeachment
crazytown
(7,277 posts)Why people do not believe her, or think she can conger up 217 when many representatives have the same strong misgivings that are expressed here is beyond me.
Bradical79
(4,490 posts)It's a bit of a self fulfilling prophesy.
LiberalFighter
(50,888 posts)KY_EnviroGuy
(14,490 posts)If he is not investigated by Congress on record, the survival of our democracy is in serious jeopardy because his behavior and that of Barr will then be even more normalized.
KY.......
AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)KY_EnviroGuy
(14,490 posts)"impeachment inquiry" rather than just investigation.
Carries far more gravity in the public eye than everyday congressional investigations, IMO.
KY......
AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)American Idol. Keeping Up with the Kardashians, Dancing with Has Beens has probably more viewer than the C-Spans will ever get in an "inquiry".
C-Spans will be the major coverage....
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)Luka Boyd
(49 posts)If they open the impeachment inquiry too soon, no matter what they uncover it will be forgotten and out of the news by the election. Especially without a conviction. The repugnantcants would control how fast it moves through the senate and they would rush it through without a conviction so its all forgotten by November of next year.
I think the proceedings need to be in the news during the election cycle, even if there is no trial in the senate before the election, the apricot hellbeast will be "under investigation" and on trial in the court of public opinion at the time of the election. Think about this, an uncommitted voter has a subconscious choice, "do I vote for Trump again? they didnt find anything, hes okay". Or do we want him to think subconsciously that the evil one is a criminal under investigation. We have the time, we will never get a removal with impeachment so lets use it to our advantage. I dont see a downside to doing it next year. The case just keeps getting stronger. If voters have forgotten about the crimes by then starting impeachment inquiry will put it front and center again.
trc
(823 posts)That is why Pelosi is not moving forward. Would repugs pay a price for acquitting? Pay a price with whom? The republican party is all in with this president and do not care about optics, they only care about keeping dems out. So, the House would impeach, the senate would acquit and trump would claim victory. Impeachment is a trap at the moment that dems don't need to fall into. Any good lawyer will say "don't ask a question you don't know the answer to." So, don't impeach if you know the answer will be acquittal and a boost to this president. This is not the republican party that would have convicted Nixon, this is the republican party that completely changed the rules of the senate to get a supreme court justice in place who would give them the edge...rules no longer apply to these guys. Our only recourse is to vote these shits out of power in 2020. And, if groups get it into their heads that they will vote for only one candidate, or stay home and not vote if Pelosi does not impeach, we will lose the presidency again and, far worse, lose the Supreme Court to the conservative Taliban for 30 years or more.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)Bradical79
(4,490 posts)Calling Trump a criminal over and over, accusing him of various things, then not impeaching just make them look weak. Pelosi's statement "I don't want him impeached, I want to see him in prison" was a big mistake. She's having a very difficult time justifying no impeachment while accusing him of crimes. The two messages don't mix well.
Edit: With the Epstein case looming large, and a few other goings on, I'm fine now with not immediately starting the impeachment inquiry. Wait too long though, and Republicans will control the narritive with their bullshit investigations. We'll end up with Clinton Emails 2.0.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,406 posts)If the Democrats push for impeachment based on sound, solid reasons, it *should* be a negative for Trump/GOP. If it's a circus and based on "shaky" ground (see the Clinton Impeachment), then I suppose it could be positive for them. Not many people have a favorable view of Trump and I can't imagine the Democrats are going to push for impeachment on something outlandish, so I can't imagine it being positive for Trump/GOP.
BeyondGeography
(39,369 posts)If leadership's attitude is See-I-told-you-he-would-be-acquitted-in-the-Senate, forget it.
Troy The Raver
(2 posts)AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)Poiuyt
(18,122 posts)Impeachment hearings, OTOH, would be plastered all over the news. Then the public would see the extent of trump's crimes.
AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)Let's pretend it was "plastered all over the news"...it wouldn't change squat.
The public can see it NOW on the C-Spans....if they chose to tune in...because MSNBC and CNN shows some hearings does NOT in any way promise increased visibility..
Crunchy Frog
(26,579 posts)By appearing weak, scared and indecisive.
There seems to be an idea that that will appeal to the "moderates", but I just don't see it.
BTW, the overall attitude on this board seems to have flipped 180 degrees from what it was when I joined in 2003.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)The repukes have always known how to play the long game.. and they win! Its high time we did the same.
Liberty Belle
(9,534 posts)Or they look like they are protecting pedophiles. It's probably the only thing that would.
If they leave him alone they risk voters ousting Trump rather than support a pedophile.
If they impeach, they get Mike Pence who could be the Republicans better shot at reelection, in my opinion.
AncientGeezer
(2,146 posts)stillcool
(32,626 posts)Nothing changes. Republicans are so good at putting on a show, and I think they and theirs would get a lot of play out of the Congressional hearings, but I don't think the Senate will play along at all, so it's a one-show deal. The Republicans have shown no inclination to object to anything Trump does. I think they need to steal it to win it as of right now.
ehrnst
(32,640 posts)are far more qualified.
Thekaspervote
(32,755 posts)1. We impeach him without removal, because we all know this is all thats going to happen. Think about those ads. And think about The non stop rallies feeding red meat to his base. Need I say more
2. We dont impeach, all he can do is whine per usual. And the gopeee looses that wedge too. When hes gone as Pelosi has said, then we can put his ass and his ilk in jail!
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Poiuyt
(18,122 posts)Though to be fair, there isn't a very big sample size.
Gothmog
(145,130 posts)Impeaching trump without 20 GOP Senate votes could cost the Democratic Party control of the House https://www.politico.com/playbook
WELL, PER NEW GOP POLLING, SHES GOT A POINT The National Republican Congressional Committee polled five battleground districts, and found impeaching President DONALD TRUMP to be exceedingly unpopular.
THE DISTRICTS: California 21, where Rep. T.J. COX (D-Calif.) beat David Valadao; California 39, which Rep. GIL CISNEROS (D-Calif.) took in an open race; California 45, where Rep. KATIE PORTER (D-Calif.) toppled Mimi Walters; Georgia 6, where Rep. LUCY MCBATH (D-Ga.) beat Karen Handel; and New Jersey 7, where Rep. TOM MALINOWSKI (D-N.J.) knocked off Leonard Lance.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Gothmog
(145,130 posts)Article of Impeachment are a stunt. Right now the polling shows only 27% favor an impeachment inquiry which is a far cry from actual article of impeachment. That number is up 10% percent from the prior polling which is some movement. 27% is not sufficient to win a congressional seat. Many moderate democrats are worried and for good reason. Right now it is my understanding that only 60+ house democrats favor an impeachment inquiry and that is not close to half of the caucus.
Moderate democrats have reason to worry
Link to tweet
Were not anywhere close, Peterson told The Daily Beast as he exited the House floor on Tuesday. Hes been pressing his colleagues in the House Democratic caucus to recognize that this simple fact should put impeachment fever to bed, for now. But he says he hasnt had much luck.....
But political concerns clearly are a factor for Democratic moderates and the leadership that is closely following their re-election prospects. Pelosi, for starters, has fed the idea that Trump would welcome impeachment because it would fire up his base heading into the 2020 election. Impeachment proponents scoff at that argument, stressing that historical data isnt conclusive that the public rallies to the president under fire. But polling data tends to show that the country right now isnt enamored with the idea. A new survey from a Michigan-based pollster found in that key swing state, over 41 percent of voters strongly oppose impeachment, while 27 percent strongly supported.
The two seats that we flipped in Texas would likely be lost if we file articles of impeachment and trump is vindicated by a GOP controlled Senate.
I want to pick up additional house seats this term and not lose seats. Lizzie and Collin are both good people and it would be a shame to lose these House members. I have been on the phone with both of them (dialing for dollar calls) and they are class people. Collin was with Marc Elias' firm and was involved in the 2016 voter protection efforts.
I support Nancy Pelosi's position here. I also support calling witnesses to testify bout the Mueller report and seeing if we can get the polling to shift on the percentage of Americans who support an impeachment inquiry (which is a far cry from Article of Impeachment).
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... ended up on the party of the impeached not gaining control of the government or losing it.
There's ... NO... good reason against impeachment politically
Gaining seats doesn't mean controlling the government
Gothmog
(145,130 posts)I fully support Nancy Pelosis actions. Without 20 GOP Senate votes, impeachment is just a stunt that could cost the Democrats control of the House. The polling shows that impeachment in not popular in swing districts. Speaker Pelosi is correct to want to protect vulnerable Democrats
Right now the Democrats have not lost any court cases seeking to enforce subpoenas under the Houses oversight authority. There is currently no need for an impeachment inquiry
Again, I am glad that it is Speaker Pelosi making the call here. I trust her judgment on the political issues here
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)We need good timing for Impeachment
Not impeaching is not an option
Gothmog
(145,130 posts)I trust Speaker Pelosi will make this decision based on facts. Impeachment without 20 GOP Senate votes, impeachment is a stunt. The Senate republicans can quash any impeachment proceeding easily
Link to tweet
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)voter turnout decided the 2018 midterms. this is likely to continue in 2020 as long as democratic leadership doesn't crawl into a shell. Impeachment would only help our chances.
Cetacea
(7,367 posts)Clinton's popularity rose for a while only because the public largely understood the Whitewater investigation to have been a real "witch hunt". But Gore refused Clinton's help in the campaign and dems lost congress. Starr released the huge report in a very public fashion, with vans unloading the vast array of documents.
Compare that with Barr lying about the Mueller report and suppressing the report for three weeks. The current position on impeachment should be reconsidered after the public becomes informed about it's contents on July 17.
Trumpocalypse
(6,143 posts)They lost in 94 long before impeachment. However, the Dems picked up seats in the 98 midterms which took place in the middle of the impeachment fight.
Cetacea
(7,367 posts)Thanks. "Though Republicans lost another two House seats in 2000, they again maintained control of the chambers majorityand again narrowly won the nationwide House popular vote. Only in the Senate did the GOP slip, losing five seats that initially created a 5050 tie until Jeffordss switch gave Democrats a majority."
Good article:
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/06/did-clintons-impeachment-actually-hurt-republicans/591175/
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... ALWAYS hurts the party of the impeached.
Trumpocalypse
(6,143 posts)So how were they hurt by impeachment?
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Trumpocalypse
(6,143 posts)The GOP was because they lost seats. And in 2000 the GOP lost enough seats that they did lose control when Jeffords switched parties.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... someone switching seats doesn't negate the election cycle voting ... that's something that happened POST vote.
There is ... NO... history of the party impeached faring well when it comes to controlling government post impeachment NONE.
Trumpocalypse
(6,143 posts)Youre basing everything thing on control. But a majority party losing seats when they should have gained seats is significant whether you care to recognize that reality or not.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... points.
Losing a game by 3 points less this time is still losing ...
Trumpocalypse
(6,143 posts)Thats the problem. Too many see it as a game.
Kashkakat v.2.0
(1,752 posts)how our abuser daddy is going to react (figuratively speaking).
The very definition of co-dependency - having no self esteem and being entirely too wrapped up in how the other person is going to react, what they think, do they approve, etc.
Mr.Bill
(24,282 posts)Nowhere in the Constitution does it say Congress shall impeach a president only if it is politically advantageous to their party.
I don't want my great grandchildren learning in school one day that Trump was never impeached but Bill Clinton was.
Luka Boyd
(49 posts)If impeachment would be a net positive for repubs then why doesnt Nancy have the REPUBLICAN votes for impeachment to begin? If its a positive for them, they should be for it. How many repub representatives are FOR impeachment?
zentrum
(9,865 posts).....will energize Repugs and hurt Democrats IMHO. We need more clear, undeniable evidence first. It has to be a clear case and not look, to them, like a "librul conspiracy".
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Rule of law, they would vote that they don't care that trump breaks the law.
KPN
(15,642 posts)a poor job in the hearings.
This is a no brainer at this point. There is so much negative crap surrounding tRump without even considering the Russia thing, impeachment proceedings will be impossible for the GOP/RW talking heads to ignore, downplay or effectively deny/de-legitimize.
Get on with it Dems. ITMF Now! Doing otherwise will only hurt us.
Mike Nelson
(9,952 posts)
negative. What is negative to the Trump Republicans? They keep lowering the bar... they have no bottom! Moore is running again and Acosta is staying... rape allegations mean nothing, even it the victim is 14-years-old. To be impeached would be a more positive story.
rufus dog
(8,419 posts)Now the new ones that moved in are pure white trash and they started the fire by cooking meth. But the house has become an eyesore, so rather than putting it out, let's just let it burn to the ground. Then the owners may not have the funds to rebuild and we can rid the neighborhood of these losers forever! Then I want have to look at that damn confederate flag they fly.
Sound like a good plan, or pure passive aggressive fucking bullshit?
FFS!
Oh look, there are a whole bunch of teen aged girls being taken into their barn!
WTF! - What are in those cages he put up against the border of his property?