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malaise

(268,724 posts)
Fri Jul 12, 2019, 06:14 AM Jul 2019

Looks like NOLA will be spared the worst of the water

and that is good news

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/083731_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New
Orleans
* Intracoastal City to Cameron

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City to Shell Beach

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to the Mississippi/Alabama border
* Lake Pontchartrain

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Grand Isle
* Intracoastal City to Cameron

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama
border

---------------------
Watch the water peeps and stay safe

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Looks like NOLA will be spared the worst of the water (Original Post) malaise Jul 2019 OP
From my understanding it will be a slow moving rain event Sherman A1 Jul 2019 #1
I think that a larger concern besides avoiding the direct hit TexasTowelie Jul 2019 #2
when the levee breaks Hermit-The-Prog Jul 2019 #5
plenty of barry left for us to worry about rampartc Jul 2019 #3
I wouldn't be so sure about that nitpicker Jul 2019 #4
The ground is already saturated from the storm on Wednesday. fleur-de-lisa Jul 2019 #6

Sherman A1

(38,958 posts)
1. From my understanding it will be a slow moving rain event
Fri Jul 12, 2019, 06:21 AM
Jul 2019

Starting mid Saturday. Family in the area seems to believe the only concern is losing power.

TexasTowelie

(111,978 posts)
2. I think that a larger concern besides avoiding the direct hit
Fri Jul 12, 2019, 06:23 AM
Jul 2019

is how much it rains further north in Louisiana as well as Arkansas and further north. The Mississippi River is already running high and the levees could breach.

nitpicker

(7,153 posts)
4. I wouldn't be so sure about that
Fri Jul 12, 2019, 06:29 AM
Jul 2019
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/120834.shtml

(snip)
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to Shell Beach...3 to 6 ft
Shell Beach to the Mississippi/Alabama border...2 to 4 ft
Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River...3 to 5 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...2 to 4 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL: Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 20 inches over southeast Louisiana and southwest Mississippi,
with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches. These rains are expected
to lead to dangerous, life-threatening flooding over portions of the
central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Over the
remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12
inches.
(snip)

fleur-de-lisa

(14,624 posts)
6. The ground is already saturated from the storm on Wednesday.
Fri Jul 12, 2019, 08:36 AM
Jul 2019

A slow moving storm that will dump lots of water in what is basically a bowl WILL cause flooding in New Orleans. The only question is where.

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