Arizona poll shows Kelly overtaking McSally

[left-of-center2012]

Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) trails her Democratic opponent for the first time, according to a new survey, as President Trump's approval rating falls in the key swing state.

Retired astronaut Mark Kelly leads McSally, the retired fighter pilot-turned-politician, by a 46 percent to 41 percent margin, according to the poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights, a Phoenix-based pollster, and released first to The Hill.

McSally has fallen behind, the poll suggests, as President Trump's standing takes a hit in Arizona. Just 47 percent of likely voters in the state approve of Trump's job performance, down from 50 percent in May and 54 percent in October. His disapproval rating has risen from 46 percent last October to 52 percent today.

The poll shows a dangerous trend for McSally, who now trails Kelly by 9 percentage points in Maricopa County, home to about 3 in 5 Arizona voters. In recent years, only one candidate, Diane Douglas, has won statewide election in Arizona without winning Maricopa County. Douglas won the election to be Arizona's superintendent of public instruction by just 16,000 votes in 2014, or about 1 percentage point; four years later, she didn't even make it out of the Republican primary, and a Democrat won Douglas's seat by 3 percentage points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/458031-arizona-poll-shows-kelly-overtaking-mcsally

[Firestorm49]

1. This is encouraging, but I'll believe it when he's sworn in. Polls are little more than sorcery.