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RandySF

(58,776 posts)
Fri Aug 30, 2019, 10:13 AM Aug 2019

THe NC-09 special election is too close to call. We can flip this.

SIREN … NEW PARTY POLLING … NEXT MONTH’S special election in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District is truly a squeaker. Internal Republican polling has shown GOP candidate DAN BISHOP anywhere from 2 points to 4 points ahead of Democrat DAN MCCREADY. And believe it or not, that’s an improvement, because Bishop was down big in the Charlotte-and-east-area district just a few weeks ago.

DEMOCRATIC PARTY INTERNAL POLLING has MCCREADY up 1 point. So both parties are seeing the same thing: that this race is truly a toss-up, with all results in the margin of error.

REMEMBER: This is a district President DONALD TRUMP won by nearly 12 points, and this race is within the margin of error 10 days before Election Day. THE PRESIDENT is going to try to move the needle with a visit the week after next, but some Democrats are whispering the trend lines are in their direction, with the early indications favoring McCready. McCready ran in 2018 -- so he has a lot of momentum, and recognition.

SPENDING HAS BEEN BIG HERE: The NRCC, Congressional Leadership Fund and Club for Growth have combined for nearly $6 million in spending in this race. The DCCC and House Majority PAC are in for a bit more than $1 million. McCready has vastly outspent Bishop, with the Democrat doling out $4.7 million compared to Bishop’s $1.7 million.

A DEMOCRATIC WIN, of course, would be a very big deal. Combine that with the wave of Repbulican retirements -- and the expectation for more after the recess -- and Republicans are going to have a tough time explaining their current political fortunes. Republicans could easily still pull this thing out.



https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2019/08/30/new-trump-heads-into-buzzsaw-in-north-carolina-473536?nname=playbook&nid=0000014f-1646-d88f-a1cf-5f46b7bd0000&nrid=0000014e-f0ed-dd93-ad7f-f8edad790000&nlid=630318

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