Gallup, 8/31: Obama 47, Romney 46 -- Obama's approval rating +1 (45%)

[highplainsdem]

Gotta love what the RNC has done for the polls...






http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx



Editing the OP to note that although the presidential election numbers are a 7-day rolling average, so we're just starting to see the RNC's influence on those, the President's approval rating is a 3-day rolling average, August 28-30, so it includes at least two days and possibly much of the third day of the RNC.

[woolldog]

1. Gallup is a 7 day rolling average

So most of the interviews reflected in the numbers happened before the meat of the RNC. Will have to wait till next fri for all the interviews to reflect the convention.... and of course by that time the DNC will have taken place so those numbers will be old. So wait till a week after the DNC to know where the race stands.

[highplainsdem]

3. The approval rating is a 3-day rolling average. This was Aug. 28-30.

So it includes at least two days of the RNC and possibly the third, for at least some of the respondents, depending on how late in the evening they did the polling.

[My Pet Goat]

2. I know this poll is a 7 day moving average, but...

I expected to see the needle noticeably move in Romney's favor by now. My theory about post-convention bounces is the polls taken during the convention over-represent partisans found sitting near the telephone watching the convention (i.e., easily reachable and motivated to answer a political poll). Hence the temporary bounce irrespective of how controversial or bad the speakers were. Interesting why this is not happening. Perhaps it has to do with convention viewership cratering.