General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDorian is now officially a Category 5.. EDIT: 185mph winds! 2nd strongest in Atlantic history
Last edited Sun Sep 1, 2019, 12:59 PM - Edit history (2)
Link to tweet
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@MJVentrice
National Hurricane Center has just announced #Dorian has intensified into a Category-5 Major Hurricane with sustained winds of 160mph and a central low pressure of 927mb.
Latest forecast track has shifted a bit west
Link to tweet
jpak
(41,757 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)Catastrophic damage
KY_EnviroGuy
(14,490 posts)the NWS track holds. Perhaps tornadoes as well along the coast. However, in a couple of days it could still shift either east or west.
Track appears to be approximately 50-miles off the coast 'till it lands at Hatteras....
kentuck
(111,079 posts)I hope their forecasts are accurate? That it does miss the States and skirts back into the Atlantic.
Baclava
(12,047 posts)Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that Dorian has continued to intensify, and now has maximum
sustained winds near 175 mph (280 km/h), with a minimum central
pressure of 922 mb (27.23 inches).
superpatriotman
(6,247 posts)When we went to bed last night we were optimistic
Now not so much
Roland99
(53,342 posts)bucolic_frolic
(43,137 posts)Why won't Trump test his stable genius theory? Trump is the only one who can fix it!
SergeStorms
(19,199 posts)Trump is the only person who can do anything! Where would the world be without the most intelligent, skillful, creative, inquisitive, learned, humble, and esteemed human being to have ever walked our planet? No one has ever done anything better than Donald Trump. Just ask him.
bdamomma
(63,837 posts)any ideas! Climate denier that he is.
trusty elf
(7,390 posts)Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)The Blue Flower
(5,442 posts)In total, worse than a direct hit onto land.
lastlib
(23,216 posts)Now we're reeeeallly gonna get it.............
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NCjack
(10,279 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)Link to tweet
Todd Crawford
@tcrawf_nh
Takeaway from 06Z ECM ens...disturbing W trend continues. 20-25% now make FL landfall with #Dorian, only 10% from previous run. Minor track differences are difference between millions/billions in coastal damage and thousands/millions power outages in FL (and then GA/SC/NC)
patphil
(6,169 posts)mfcorey1
(11,001 posts)in some sort of safe shelter. I have been trying to research if a CAT 5 has ever hit the area before.
crazytown
(7,277 posts)The highest elevation in the Bahamas is 65 ft.
Delphinus
(11,830 posts)are if there will be any of the island left.
flying_wahini
(6,589 posts)We went 13 days without power in my neighborhood and couldnt leave because the
roads had downed trees everywhere. Took about 5 days to clear them. We left while we still had enough gas to clear the no gasoline area that extended to DFW area. (185 miles away).
Those poor people. Gonna be real bad.
luvs2sing
(2,220 posts)at our house in Columbus, Ohio! Took out our gazebo and a couple big trees. We were without power for three days. It gave me a whole new appreciation for these terrible storms.
Sancho
(9,067 posts)Mike's Weather Page: https://spaghettimodels.com
He's on FB too...
StarryNite
(9,443 posts)Cetacea
(7,367 posts)Sadly, the storm is going to wreck the Bahamas. Think Sandy with 150+ winds.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Cetacea
(7,367 posts)85-90 degrees from there to Florida coast.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)sir pball
(4,741 posts)It's purely damage-oriented...there's no need for "Cat 6", once you get to winds over 160mph sustained for tens of minutes it's just total devastation, even an extra 100mph doesn't really matter.
It's like how there is technically an EF6 (actually up to 12) but nobody ever uses it because EF5 literally scours the dirt clear. Not much point in scaling the damage level any higher.
Cetacea
(7,367 posts)CentralMass
(15,265 posts)malaise
(268,949 posts)Damn!
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Yikes....
malaise
(268,949 posts)Roland99
(53,342 posts)malaise
(268,949 posts)Get out of the way people
Baclava
(12,047 posts)Still heading due west, the cone of uncertainty is still large with this one, scary
malaise
(268,949 posts)Mother Nature is sending the Con a very strong signal
sir pball
(4,741 posts)Tip was 870mb - 900 is pretty low but that would be a monster deepening if it's lost that much in 12 hours!
Roland99
(53,342 posts)malaise
(268,949 posts)Freeport - Floridians better not let their guard down - this could be bad
kentuck
(111,079 posts)Hauling my butt inward and northward ...
malaise
(268,949 posts)North doesn't look like a good idea here. With this one I could be wrong.
kentuck
(111,079 posts)It looks like it is going to hit Florida...If I was in Daytona, I would be moving.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Middle of the state would hit Orlando with probably Cat 2-3 strength
malaise
(268,949 posts)Miami-Dade won't get the worst of it.
I too would move from Daytona
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT5+shtml/011455.shtml?
JCMach1
(27,556 posts)JCMach1
(27,556 posts)There is just not a lot of Cat 5 data in their models...
Heads up Florida,SC and NC
Roland99
(53,342 posts)JCMach1
(27,556 posts)Spin a it very fast and try to shift it with your finger. The faster in goes the harder it is to move with your finger. Now, throw in all of your weather variables...
Truth be told we just don't have that much Cat 5 data because it is so rare
kentuck
(111,079 posts)I am very skeptical of these models. It would be terrible to be lulled into some false security .
malaise
(268,949 posts)for everyone in its path
Baclava
(12,047 posts)These beasts sometimes have a mind of there own
Roland99
(53,342 posts)Link to tweet
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@weatherchannel
BREAKING: #HurricaneDorian has made landfall on Elbow Cay in the Abacos of the northwest Bahamas. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 185 mph.
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)JCMach1
(27,556 posts)triron
(21,999 posts)So when is storm supposed to turn north? Still heading west very slowly.
JCMach1
(27,556 posts)It hasn't stalled yet