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applegrove

(118,622 posts)
Sat Sep 7, 2019, 05:03 PM Sep 2019

How Trump Is Undermining GOP Incumbents

How Trump Is Undermining GOP Incumbents

September 7, 2019 at 8:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 305 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2019/09/07/how-trump-is-undermining-gop-incumbents/

"SNIP....

Jonathan Bernstein: “Members of Congress typically work hard to represent their districts. In particular, they try to secure benefits that they can bring home and brag about. Constituents wind up hearing good things about their representatives, and therefore tend to vote for them, all else equal. Thus the advantage of incumbency. In the era of partisan polarization, however, that ‘all else equal’ applies less and less because voters mostly support their party’s candidate, so much so that the incumbency advantage seems to be close to disappearing.”

“But what happens when incumbents actively support policies that take valuable projects away from their districts? That’s what’s going on with President Trump’s decision to transfer appropriated military funds to pay for his border wall (yes, the one that Mexico was supposed to pay for and that Congress has repeatedly failed to fund).”

“For now, these transfers appear to be getting plenty of press in the affected states– including some with potentially vulnerable Republican senators. If this was a normal failure to win funding for projects, I’d say it’s not a big deal; certainly not something that voters would hold against their representatives. But we can’t really say that here. This isn’t a missed opportunity – it’s a deliberate effort to take something away that had previously been secured.”

SNIP"

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How Trump Is Undermining GOP Incumbents (Original Post) applegrove Sep 2019 OP
If You Support Your Party's Candidate, Why Would Endanger Encumbency? Me. Sep 2019 #1
I'm sorry i don't quite understand. applegrove Sep 2019 #2
My Point Is...Of Course Voters Support Their Party's Candidate.... Me. Sep 2019 #3
Unless voters are teetering because what Trump promised seems to be all hot air. applegrove Sep 2019 #4
D'uh I Get What The Writer Is Trying To Say Me. Sep 2019 #5
Okay. Okay. applegrove Sep 2019 #6

Me.

(35,454 posts)
1. If You Support Your Party's Candidate, Why Would Endanger Encumbency?
Sat Sep 7, 2019, 05:32 PM
Sep 2019

Isn't that's why we always try to get crossover voters?

Me.

(35,454 posts)
3. My Point Is...Of Course Voters Support Their Party's Candidate....
Sat Sep 7, 2019, 05:51 PM
Sep 2019

especially when their candidate is the incumbent, so why would that endanger incumbency?



because voters mostly support their party’s candidate, so much so that the incumbency advantage seems to be close to disappearing

applegrove

(118,622 posts)
4. Unless voters are teetering because what Trump promised seems to be all hot air.
Sat Sep 7, 2019, 06:01 PM
Sep 2019

If he takes away some incumbant's pet project in order to have his own talking point about building a wall he is doing to the republican party what he does to everyone else...he takes away to make himself look good. It is always about him.

Me.

(35,454 posts)
5. D'uh I Get What The Writer Is Trying To Say
Sat Sep 7, 2019, 06:04 PM
Sep 2019

but we'll have to see if that becomes fact, if his supporters are still mesmerized

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