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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUS manufacturing now has two consecutive months of decline
Last edited Tue Oct 1, 2019, 01:50 PM - Edit history (1)
Link to tweet
Just for the record: US manufacturing now has two consecutive quarters of decline. Two quarters of decline is definition of recession. US manufacturing is now in recession.
- it's not the Fed
- Fed rates are at historic lows
- the Fed can't fix tariffs
- #ItsTheTariffsStupid
elleng
(130,860 posts)S&P 500
-0.81%
Dow
-0.89%
Nasdaq
-0.66%
(NOT that the markets say everything about manufacturing)
Johnny2X2X
(19,024 posts)Weak job growth and things could spiral quaintly.
Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)that are still in place and could be ramped up are not doing anything but that.
Trump wheeled a Trojan Horse into the spotlight and what's inside is what matters to me here. The guise of "the deal" and "negotiating" is proving to be reckless and economically damaging as statistics and charts are proving. There have been no real benefits, other than some short-term ones to small sectors that are quickly fading away.
That would give cause to ending the tariffs as quickly as possible or coming to an agreement. The thing is, as some note, this has put us in a real predicament and weakened us to the point of losing more than we started with. The opponents in this situation seem to have the upper hand and if the tariffs continue or expand to other trading partners, that pattern will also continue. This is a dynamic, global market that has the ability to adapt and adjust with time.
I don't see this as just plain idiocy from Trump, (though it sure as hell looks like it, no doubt) but a reinforcement of an insidious and methodical destruction of our economy, along with all the other detrimental, (oh, the list) effects he has had. So, some might chalk it up to a mere baboon, but I see it as intentional as well. Both? Probably. Even a total idiot can muck things up intentionally and it is much easier than working with facts, knowledge and skill to improve a situation.
Will we call it the Trump Recession? The tariffs, (tax on consumers) are wrong, bad, bigly.
octoberlib
(14,971 posts)Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,634 posts)those of us out in the real world have been watching prices go up for months now.
They stretched the Obama recovery as long as they could, but it's starting to unravel, and Trump has been pulling at the threads.
Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)That term is important, too. He likes his "brand", well then, new definitions are needed. He likes to put his name on things and reap rewards even for doing that alone by licensing, as we have seen. Well here we go...
Fact: Trump Slump. Trump Recession.
Johnny2X2X
(19,024 posts)S&P-1.22%
DOW -1.20%
NASDAQ -1.13%
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)octoberlib
(14,971 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,634 posts)by joining up with other countries around the Pacific Rim.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)I imagine hes referring to the ISM report that came out today and showed a second consecutive month of decline. Not quarters.
octoberlib
(14,971 posts)catrose
(5,065 posts)It's been a while since I studied economic indicators, but that's my hazy memory of the situation.
octoberlib
(14,971 posts)catrose
(5,065 posts)Demovictory9
(32,445 posts)it's a big deal