My way too early Senate Impeachment vote prediction.

[Funtatlaguy]

I believe the Senate vote for removal from office will go down party lines with 4 exceptions.

Romney and Murkowski will vote yes. Collins will be VERY concerned 😦 but still vote no.
Manchin and Jones will vote no.

Just my .02.

[StarfishSaver]

1. I think part of Pelosi's strategy was to peel off a few Republicans

Even if it's not enough to convict, it's enough to say it's bipartisan.

And if they can get enough Republicans to make it a simple majority - thereby allowing Democrats to say that a majority of the Senate wanted him removed - that will be huge.

But who knows what can happen and where we'll be in a few weeks? A couple of months ago, no one thought it was possible to get even one Republican to vote for conviction. Sooo....

[shockey80]

2. The polls on removal after the open hearings will tell us a lot.

This is all up to the American people now. No doubt about it.

[OliverQ]

3. Recent polls only show about 45-50% support it.

I don't think the majority of Americans are smart enough or clued-in enough to realize how dangerous Trump is. I doubt the hearings move the needle much.

[SCantiGOP]

4. Agree with OP

Really going to be a tough decision for Jones.
Since 67 votes isn’t a possibility now (unless smoking gun, like tapes, comes forward), I think the attention will be on whether a majority will vote to convict. 51 votes would be viewed as damaging to Trump and would likely send him into a bigger meltdown than usual.

[SKKY]

5. If I'm Doug Jones, I have to know my days are numbered...

...it’s just a matter of fact. So, can he vote his conscience, or does he think he has a chance against Sessions? I don’t know. It’s a hard call either way.

[SCantiGOP]

6. If I were Doug Jones

I would be voting in the GOP primary — for Roy Moore. That may be his only chance.

[DFW]

7. Agree except for Murkowski

I think she will abstain.

Since failure to convict and remove is a foregone conclusion, the object must be to bring to light as much wrongdoing by Trump (and NOT only Trump) as is possible during the proceedings. Trump is damaged good in the eyes of everybody except the blind MAGATs and the people who profit (whether economically, militarily, or strategically) from his continued presence. Putin profits as long as our foreign policy is dead in the water. People as diverse Assad, Boris Johnson, Viktor Orban and Jair Bolsonaro are thrilled not to have a concerned American President breathing down their necks to do responsible things.

[Dan]

8. If true

Then I think after an open impeachment and the failure of the GOP Senate to do it’s duty to support the Constitution then I think that a lot of GOP Senators will be looking for new career opportunities post 2020.

[ritapria]

9. That is a very funny line

Susan Collins will be very concerned …. Your predictions sound quite plausible …...I disagree only on Romney …. Willard will get the willies …...Manchin is a defacto Republican and will vote to acquit Trump

[RainCaster]

10. I see alot more analysts on Faux News

Where else can they go?