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DOW ticking around zero this morning so far... (Original Post) Wounded Bear Mar 2020 OP
Classic bear market Apollo Zeus Mar 2020 #1
The markets were overpriced Johnny2X2X Mar 2020 #2
Oh, I know and agree... Wounded Bear Mar 2020 #3

Apollo Zeus

(251 posts)
1. Classic bear market
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 11:20 AM
Mar 2020

Selling into strength. I don't expect a bottom until we get a handle on COVID-19.

I see traders strategizing on how to take advantage of the Fed's market stabilization efforts. Much like in 2008 they know which stocks the Fed will support (Fannie Mae, Ford, airlines, etc) and which they will let fail (WeWork and other VC stuff).

Johnny2X2X

(18,954 posts)
2. The markets were overpriced
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 11:24 AM
Mar 2020

PE ratio is still about 30% above historical averages.

Never rooting for the markets to go down, my 401K is wrapped up in them. But the first rebound and Trump is planning a press conference to take credit for it.

You have very real and tangible things right now that are going to hurt the economy. People are cancelling their travel plans and people are starting to spend less. Remember too that 75% of economists had predicted the economy was heading into a recession this year before all of this Coronavirus stuff even started.

Wounded Bear

(58,574 posts)
3. Oh, I know and agree...
Mon Mar 2, 2020, 11:33 AM
Mar 2020

Not an expert, but it's been feeling very "bubble-like" to me for a couple of years. The Trump tax cuts were just more air in the bubble. No real value has been added.

Kind of like Bush in '08, they're trying to prop it up 'til after the election, but reality has a way of popping up at odd times. Coronavirus was just a trigger mechanism. If it hadn't been that, something else would have come. Interest rates are already pretty low, not a lot of room to do much there. Consumers have to run out of credit sooner or later.

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