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applegrove

(118,433 posts)
Sun Mar 8, 2020, 12:11 AM Mar 2020

The number of coronavirus cases outside China could jump tenfold every 19 days without 'strong inter

The number of coronavirus cases outside China could jump tenfold every 19 days without 'strong intervention,' a study says

Rhea Mahbubani at Business Insider

https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-outside-china-tenfold-increase-19-days-strong-intervention-study-2020-3

"SNIP.....

The number of coronavirus cases outside China could see a tenfold increase every 19 days in the absence of "strong intervention" by government officials worldwide, a study has found.

Chinese researchers believe that "34 unobserved founder patients" with "mild symptoms" triggered the spread of COVID-19 outside mainland China.

"The situation is dangerous" and "powerful actions on public health should be taken to combat this epidemic all over the world," according to the study.

Other experts like Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch have also issued warnings, stressing that COVID-19 could reach pandemic levels and infect around 3 billion people globally.

.....SNIP"

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The number of coronavirus cases outside China could jump tenfold every 19 days without 'strong inter (Original Post) applegrove Mar 2020 OP
3 billion with a B? And apparently it's starting to look like it might be lethal to GreenPartyVoter Mar 2020 #1
Gov't in democratic countries can not intervene like China did at140 Mar 2020 #2
40-70% of the world's population😫 hedda_foil Mar 2020 #3
We have to hug each other now. applegrove Mar 2020 #4

GreenPartyVoter

(72,377 posts)
1. 3 billion with a B? And apparently it's starting to look like it might be lethal to
Sun Mar 8, 2020, 12:17 AM
Mar 2020

a broader spectrum than just the elderly and already ill. Add to that asymptomatic spreading of the virus and the incredibly quick turn from no symptoms to acute illness in some people, and the various logistical issues and varying levels of competent response by governments, we have the potential for a staggeringly difficult summer and fall.

at140

(6,110 posts)
2. Gov't in democratic countries can not intervene like China did
Sun Mar 8, 2020, 12:18 AM
Mar 2020

China could quarantine entire cities of 11-12 million people. That is impossible in US.
So unless people in US protect themselves, covid-19 is more likely to spread rapidly.
What the gov't can do is initiate massive education program to teach people how to protect themselves.

hedda_foil

(16,370 posts)
3. 40-70% of the world's population😫
Sun Mar 8, 2020, 01:02 AM
Mar 2020
A webinar presentation hosted by the American Hospital Association projected that there could be as many as 96 million cases in the United States alone along with 4.8 million hospitalizations and 480,000 deaths associated with the novel coronavirus.
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