What Do Epidemiologists Say Constitutes The Peak Of This Pandemic?.....

[global1]

How do we know we've reached that stage in the pandemic of peak infections of the public and peak deaths related to the infections? When do we know that we're on the downside of the curve and getting back to normal?

[Sherman A1]

1. I don't believe that they know now

We haven’t even stared real testing.

[global1]

3. Are There Models From Previous Pandemic's?.....nt

[Bernardo de La Paz]

8. Yes, but hard to judge. Rare to have this kind of medium lethality with high contagiousness.

But it is not generally aerosol (though avoid sprayed spittle: stand two metres, six feet apart).

It is almost always passed by contact. So washing hands with SOAP (hand cleaner not nearly as effective) and NOT TOUCHING FACE are very effective.

[GusBob]

10. Sorta

See the link post 5 below very informative and some info on flu of 1918

Also: SARS, some eastern countries learned mitigation from that. Like Taiwan which has only 50 or so CV cases

[GusBob]

2. i read 2 months

96 million cases
480k deaths

There was a report by an epidemiologist posted here from medium.com
The guy looked at all the stats going back to China and projected

[Bernardo de La Paz]

4. China is coping by imposing draconian measures 80% of Americans would not tolerate at all. . nt

[Loki Liesmith]

6. China let this fester though

Not clear yet where we stand

[Bernardo de La Paz]

7. Yes, initially. And Doctor Li died trying to tell the world. And Donny Six Words let it fester too.

It gained a toehold in the US and wasn't stepped on hard.

Washington state was active in suppressing it and tracing contacts, but they were severely hampered by a lack of tests.

You can thank Donny Six Words for that.

[OneBlueDotBama]

5. Link

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

One has to copy & paste the link...

[TreasonousBastard]

9. I suspect they won't know until we get there. There are past pandemics to look at...

but nothing says they are accurate predictors for this one.

But, look, nothing says this won't eventually wear itself out. The 1918 Spanish flu pandemic just simply stopped-- largely on its own. One theory is that it simply mutated itself into a benign form. Viruses do that sort of thing.