COVID-19: New York Will Be The Next Italy, But Doesn't Have to Be

[brooklynite]

Analysis strongly suggests that the NYC metro area has 5–10 days to quarantine the city or face dramatically overwhelmed hospitals, extremely high death rates, and a ruined economy.

The outlook for NYC and COVID-19 is bleak. The policy response is far too slow and too weak to meet the needs of the moment.

This note started as a twitter post on Wednesday March 11.

I’ve attached updated charts with two additional days of data to this note.

https://medium.com/@donnellymjd/covid-19-new-york-will-be-the-next-italy-but-doesnt-have-to-be-54a5c8137d42

This is consistent with an analysis I've been given by one of my sources.

[msongs]

1. seems to me the mayor rectnly told everyone to keep going out to eat etc nt

[Mossfern]

2. What is considered the metro area

We live less than 20 miles from downtown.
To think I was anxious before!

[Zoonart]

3. I live 50 miles north of NYC...

aside from empty supermarket shelves...no one seems to be taking this seriously. No standards across the board. Some large chain stores...gloves employees. Others no gloves. No gloves in evidence on shoppers with the exception of my husband and myself. I could not believe it. Just panic buying with no personal health consideration. Craxy.

[flamingdem]

4. Let's keep in mind that many in China and Italy wore masks

That seems to be unpopular here. It will make it worse! New Yorkers think they are invincible..