Important tweet from Princeton's Sam Wang

[RandySF]

Link to tweet

?s=21

[elleng]

1. Thanks

[DBoon]

2. here it is;

Once again: DO NOT TRACK THE NUMBER OF CASES. THIS IS SUPPOSED TO INCREASE AS TESTING COMES ONLINE.

Instead, track the number of deaths per day. If the "doubling time" of these slows to more than 3 days, we're starting to bend the curve.

[StarryNite]

3. Thank you

[Jarqui]

4. Don't tell that to Trump - he'll cancel the testing ... nt

[magicarpet]

5. Anyone need access to this link ?

World COVID-19 Chart with USA breakdown.

https://ncov2019.live/data

[Demonaut]

6. awesome, explaining a way to determine outcome

[Ms. Toad]

7. Unfortunately, not all COVID 19 deaths are recorded as COVID 19 deaths.

Because of the lack of testing, once someone dies they have to decide whether to "waste" tests to confirm the cause of death - or save them for the living.

It's probably not as far off as confirmed cases - but it is also somewhat misleading.

[58Sunliner]

8. So true.

[Azathoth]

9. We're a long way from that

Italy is still peaking weeks after they shut down far more than us.

It's probably going to be May before we hit an inflection point.

[drray23]

10. no thanks. i will listen to actual medical scientists instead of a political scientist

There is an obvious flaw in his argument. If testing is lacking, we will also misclassify deaths. I doubt every person that dies is tested for COVID.