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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThis site predicts trends for each state in different C-19 mitigation scenarios:
https://covidactnow.orgThey are mostly terrifying.
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This site predicts trends for each state in different C-19 mitigation scenarios: (Original Post)
tblue37
Mar 2020
OP
Dallas based shelter at home on these stats... its the only to get this under control quickly
JCMach1
Mar 2020
#2
Mostly? for almost every populated state, they will run out of beds first week of april....
getagrip_already
Mar 2020
#4
Alex4Martinez
(2,193 posts)1. Very helpful, thank you, K/R nt
JCMach1
(27,555 posts)2. Dallas based shelter at home on these stats... its the only to get this under control quickly
What we are currently doing in most states, WILL NOT WORK and is a setup for mass casualties ...
tblue37
(65,290 posts)3. Yep. And only a Wuhan style lockdown gets deaths under 1000 per state. nt
getagrip_already
(14,697 posts)4. Mostly? for almost every populated state, they will run out of beds first week of april....
millions and millions dead.
I'd say that's completely terrifying.
tblue37
(65,290 posts)6. By "mostly" I meant most of the info is terrifying. The Wuhan style lockdown info at
least suggests a slightly less terrifying way forward.
getagrip_already
(14,697 posts)7. northern italy just moved to that model....
too late probably. We only have a week, maybe 2, left.
2naSalit
(86,515 posts)5. It will be interesting to see how accurate this turns out to be
in a couple months.
I suspect the projection for my state may be more dire than it will inevitably be. I could be wrong so I will be interested in seeing how it actually turns out.
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)11. The NYT has a better set up
You can plug in multiple models.
2naSalit
(86,515 posts)12. Thanks, I'll check that out. ...nt
yonder
(9,663 posts)8. Yes. Terrifying.
Thanks and sharing
milestogo
(16,829 posts)9. Wow. Huge difference between shelter at home and social distancing.
PufPuf23
(8,764 posts)10. That striking difference is what I noticed about California
Seems reasonable that in practice there will be a blend of shelter in place and social distancing.