Biden leading Trump 50-41 in 300 swing counties

[RandySF]

new Monmouth University poll finds that Joe Biden is leading President Trump nationally by a scant three points among registered voters, 48 percent to 45 percent. But here’s a fascinating finding from that same poll:
In approximately 300 “swing” counties where the margin of victory was less than ten points for either candidate – accounting for about one-fifth of the total U.S. electorate – 50 percent back Biden compared with 41 percent who support Trump.

Biden leads Trump by nine percentage points in those 300 swing counties. By contrast, Hillary Clinton carried them in the aggregate against Trump in 2016 by a scant one point. That’s possible, of course, because Trump won in the electoral college, even though he lost the national popular vote.

I talked to Patrick Murray, the polling director for Monmouth, to get some perspective on this. He told me that these 300 swing counties include many different types of counties, including ones that lean somewhat but not heavily Demoratic; suburban counties that shifted Democratic in 2018; and rural ones that Trump carried, albeit not by very large margins.



https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/03/24/trump-is-unpopular-swing-counties-just-like-2018/

[denem]

1. still too close for comfort IMO

:yikes:

[John Fante]

2. Sounds like Trump's support is increasing in counties he was already

popular in, but nosediving in swing counties.

It's the 2018 midterms all over again.

[uponit7771]

6. +1

[DrToast]

3. That doesn't seem logical

Winning by only 3 points nationally, but up 9 points in swing counties?

[rufus dog]

7. Answer is above

The ignorant are flocking to him.

Those dealing directly with the fallout of his BS policies are moving away from him

So the Suburbs hit by his ignorant tax policies were running from him even prior to the virus.

They are driven by hate radio and ignorance.

We basically have limited choices, try compassion, keep them healthy and educate them. (Obama tried) or let them die off in great numbers.

[DrToast]

8. I hope that's the case

[bronxiteforever]

4. Kick and recommend. Makes complete sense. Like 2018.

“But right now, the story remains what it has been for a long time — he’s unpopular, and that’s particularly so in the counties that will decide the 2020 election.”

[uponit7771]

5. NICE !!! That's outside of the MOE ... the close national numbers are because of CV19

[greenjar_01]

9. That's not enough