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oldtime dfl_er

(6,930 posts)
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 02:56 AM Mar 2020

Useful tool for COVID projections

From the site:

"You can use the visualization tool to compare the IHME's projections for individual states. The size of the waves and severity of shortfalls are a function, in part, of how early each state started to mandate social distancing. Murray says the models will be updated with new data every Monday."

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

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Useful tool for COVID projections (Original Post) oldtime dfl_er Mar 2020 OP
The idea that the total deaths from this will be 80,000 is ridiculous. Squinch Mar 2020 #1
I was going to basically say the same thing Victor_c3 Mar 2020 #2
I should have researched it oldtime dfl_er Mar 2020 #3

Squinch

(50,935 posts)
1. The idea that the total deaths from this will be 80,000 is ridiculous.
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 04:17 AM
Mar 2020

This site keeps popping up here, but I strongly suspect this group is working with right wing sources who want to blue sky the outcomes.

Victor_c3

(3,557 posts)
2. I was going to basically say the same thing
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 04:38 AM
Mar 2020

I think the projections are extremely optimistic.

Just looking at the rate of growth in the number of new infections reported, I don’t see any indicator that it is slowing down or leveling off. We are still seeing exponential growth.

Without adequate testing, we don’t even know what the real numbers are.

oldtime dfl_er

(6,930 posts)
3. I should have researched it
Sat Mar 28, 2020, 04:48 PM
Mar 2020

I just pulled it off twitter and posted it, but now that I look further, I think you might be right.

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