NY C19 cases exploded today... 10,468 new cases.

[Demovictory9]

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
USA
State Total
Cases New
Cases Total
Deaths New
Deaths Active
Cases Tot Cases/
1M pop Deaths/
1M pop Total
Tests Tests/
1M pop
USA Total 400,335 +33,331 12,841 +1,970 365,820 1,209 39 2,075,739 6,271
New York 142,384 +10,468 5,489 +731 122,315 7,258 280 340,058 17,33

[Make7]

1. That may be the result of more testing. Check out the NY state DoH Covid-19 tracker:

https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-DailyTracker?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=n

If that gets you to the Daily Totals page select Time Period (All) in the dropdown above the graph on the right-hand side. (If that link above takes you to the Map View, hit the Click For Daily Trends Link.) You can mouse over each day to get a popup of the numbers. (Sorry if you're on a mobile device and it doesn't work how I am describing it.)

As you can see (hopefully), on April 2nd and 3rd the number of new cases were 10,482 and 10,841. However, the number of people tested were thousands more on those days.

Unfortunately, the testing per capita is still probably not high enough in this country to be getting very accurate results for the number of cases yet. Some of the jumps in case numbers also seem to follow increased testing - the implications of that are pretty scary.

[Demovictory9]

3. thx

[pat_k]

2. Deaths generally tracking with covid19.healthdata.org projections

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

They don't project cases because the number of detected cases with the various levels of testing across the states is a very poor reflection of the number of actual cases out there to be detected.

They are tracking and projecting deaths, available hospital resources, and projecting hospital resource needs state-by-state (accounting for dates of ordered "lock downs" and assuming social distancing continues). They recently added projections for other countries (you now need to scroll down a bit to get to US state-specific data).

Different states have different peak dates. For example, projected peak deaths for NY is April 10, CA April 15, Louisiana's projected peak was April 6. So the number of deaths per day will continue to increase in the coming days.

From the beginning, they projected about 82,000 deaths total. They update as new data comes it. Projections have been pretty accurate to date.

When I first posted this site, I was jumped all over by others asserting the numbers were massively underestimated. It appears to me the projections were solid.

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