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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums16 million people just got laid off but U.S. stocks had their best week in 45 years
Published: April 11, 2020 at 3:49 p.m. ET
By Andrea Riquier
This was the best of weeks, and it was the worst of weeks.
To start with the worst: we learned that 6.6 million more people filed for unemployment for the first time, for a three-week tally of more than 16 million and taking the jobless rate up to 10% or more, even as it likely underestimates the number of people who havent been able to get through to overburdened state unemployment systems.
The best part may have been just as unsettling. Stocks had their best week in over four decades, with the Dow DJIA, +1.22% up 12.67%, the S&P 500 SPX, +1.44% gaining 12.1%, and the Nasdaq COMP, +0.77% up 10.59%.
In fact, two sectors of the S&P 500 charted their strongest week ever. The chart above shows the sector performances, with data from Dow Jones Market Data. The real estate sector was only launched in 2016; historical data before that is back-tested. All the other sector data dates back to 1989.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/16-million-people-just-got-laid-off-but-us-stocks-had-their-best-week-in-45-years-2020-04-10?mod=home-page
Whats more, he said, The Fed knows it must keep equity markets stable to rising in order to keep the 40% of Americans who own stocks sufficiently liquid and confident to spark a recovery in consumer spending. This is the classic wealth effect, something the Federal Reserve understands well.
Its worth pointing out that if 40% of Americans own stocks, 60% do not. And not only are those people not sparking a trickle-down recovery, they may be just trying to keep food on the table.
safeinOhio
(32,641 posts)It's all a house of cards.
customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)It will get the hot air taken out of it again when there's a knock-down drag-out fight over the next stimulus bill.
bluestarone
(16,872 posts)panader0
(25,816 posts)There's a lot of bluffing going on.
Of those 40% who own stocks, a small portion of that own the most.
90% of the market is controlled by the top ten % of players.
I'll sit that game out.
I still don't know why people think it's a good indicator of life in the world
outside wall street. (i.e., the real world)
pansypoo53219
(20,955 posts)pt 1 + 3. skip 2. we are spain 1500 now.
Response to turbinetree (Original post)
elocs This message was self-deleted by its author.
kentuck
(111,054 posts)to see that it is a racket?
fescuerescue
(4,448 posts)It's based on future expectation of earnings growth.
So it's logical that these events could cross. ESPECIALLY after one of the biggest downwards runs in history.
Cicada
(4,533 posts)In normal times pruning workers probably is good news for the stock market. Unexpected news of greater job reductions often has triggered stock hikes. But here the market crashed weeks ago in anticipation of massive job losses to come. Now the job losses are materializing but the market is probably thinking about the death rate flattening and government passing huge additional bail outs.
Good idea in this story, but the juxtaposition of job losses and stock hikes is probably accidental.