General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTrump Death Projection Just Jumped Significantly
to 68,841
its up about 8,000 over last few projections
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... to 4,5 a day.
Newest Reality
(12,712 posts)TygrBright
(20,758 posts)SunSeeker
(51,550 posts)bullwinkle428
(20,629 posts)beyond the full-metal Mussolini meltdown that we just watched.
tblue37
(65,328 posts)Squinch
(50,949 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)Predictions for cumulative deaths. At the national level, projected cumulative COVID-19 deaths could reach 68,841 (estimate range of 30,188 to 175,965) across states during the epidemics first wave. Todays release is somewhat higher than the average US predictions for cumulative COVID-19 deaths published on April 10 (61,545, with an estimate range of 26,487 to 155,315), though the uncertainty intervals overlap considerably. This change is at least partially driven by higher cumulative estimates for Massachusetts and New York, reflecting the latest COVID-19 death data that are publicly available.
Based on the latest data and current model, the following states could have the highest cumulative COVID-19 death tolls through the epidemics first wave:
State
Predictions for cumulative COVID-19 deaths through the first wave from our April 13 release (today)
Predictions from our April 10 release
Change of average values since the April 10 release*
New York
14,542 (11,008 to 23,000)
13,463 (9,382 to 24,236)
↑ 1,079 deaths
Massachusetts
8,219 (1,680 to 25,347)
6,739 (1,269 to 22,854)
↑ 1,480 deaths
Connecticut
5,426 (1,344 to 15,397)
4,614 deaths (1,143 to 13,559)
↑ 812 deaths
Florida
4,748 (1,250 to 13,759)
3,999 (1,218 to 10,293)
↑ 749 deaths
New Jersey
4,407 (2,684 to 10,033)
3,915 (2,133 to 8,700)
↑ 492 deaths
Georgia
3,718 (1,081 to 10,693)
3,564 (1,300 to 9,020)
↑ 154 deaths
Texas
2,704 (631 to 8,552)
2,350 (592 to 6,553)
↑ 354 deaths
IcyPeas
(21,858 posts)think about that.
(jumbo jets hold about 416 people)
ProfessorGAC
(64,995 posts)...swine flu epidemics. You know the virus that the RWNJs used as a talking point when CV was just erupting.
They were sure it was nothing compared to that & they just wanted to make DOLTUS look bad.
Pretty stupid talking point.
In about 4 months, we'll be 5.6 swine flus.
Heck of a job, Trumpie.