General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsUS may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predic
(CNN)This may be the new normal for quite a while.
The US may have to endure social distancing measures -- such as stay-at-home orders and school closures -- until 2022, researchers projected on Tuesday. That is, unless, a vaccine becomes quickly available.
That's according to researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who published their findings in the journal Science on Tuesday. Those findings directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer.
The team at the Harvard School of Public Health used what's known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.
"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," they wrote in their report. "Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/14/health/social-distancing-research-coronavirus-2022-trnd/index.html
Cha
(296,742 posts)much easier when we have Joe Biden in the WH.. and the mad fustercluck blowhard is put out to hell.
William769
(55,142 posts)Cha
(296,742 posts)the beginning of his end.
Initech
(100,027 posts)We need to know how this happened and they cannot get away with it.
Ex Lurker
(3,811 posts)Either psychologically or economically. We'll have to find an orderly way to open up, minimizing what risk we can while recognizing we can't eliminate it entirely.
William769
(55,142 posts)Governors using science will keep social distancing & slowly remove restrictions then we will have the Governors (idiot republicans) who will just open up full steam ahead which of course will restart the virus gobbling up America again and crashing the economy even worse with untold thousands more deaths.
brer cat
(24,513 posts)The Governors who slowly remove restrictions will be undone by their neighbors to go full bore. The South is going to be hit hard for a long time.
The Conductor
(180 posts)Too bad they know so little of history; it wasn't just the Civil War that kept the South poor, it was Yellow Fever. There was no vaccine for that disease licensed in the U.S. until 1953.
Initech
(100,027 posts)sprinkleeninow
(20,208 posts)Phooey and ptoohey.
I'm going along with masking, keeping my distance. Grocery staff some wearing masks, some not. Some gloved but no mask.
Where are the freaking tests?? DIY ones who cares.
There should be free testing at numerous locations close in proximity to where we have parked ourselves.
Scientists working diligently round the clock to find vaccine, antibodies, medicinal remedies, retroviral stuff. Whatever it takes, wherever it leads.
* turning our wonderful country, my beloved country, into one of his described s**thole ones.
Doreen
(11,686 posts)I have already been longing to give a friend or my mother a hug. Then on top of that I do not get to see them or not very often.
I mean, yes, I do have cats to keep me company and snuggle but I miss hugging and being next to something that does not shed on me.
It is sad to think about the people who do not even have close to what I have. I strongly suspect that there are people who were already very isolated that are more so now.
I do not know how others feel but I can't imagine most of us being able to handle this type of life for long.
I'm sorry you're dealing with all this right now. I can't hug you, but I can at least reach out and let you know I empathize with your plight.
Doreen
(11,686 posts)I do not have it as bad as some but it is still noticeable. Well, I will say to you the popular thing to say now: "air hug ." 😊
herding cats
(19,558 posts)My brother (high risk due to asthma and COPD) was happy his fish had babies today because they were new faces. That's the emotional side of it. Economically is the stimulus will dry up long before then. Imagine the people trapped in abusive homes dancing on a tightrope now just to survive? They won't make it that long.
With expected future rolling social distancing to keep hospitals from being overloaded, we will suffer and not endure this gracefully. It's just going to get worse.
If we don't get a vaccine within the next 12 months things will get very ugly.
DFW
(54,268 posts)Those firms know that the first one to develop a reliable vaccine makes itself a few tens of billions richer. I think it will be sooner rather than later.
jimfields33
(15,667 posts)I dont believe for a minute that if college students get used to online for two years that they just wont continue especially if they can finish with a very low debt. Also homeschool would explode. It would change education forever.