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USALiberal

(10,877 posts)
Thu Apr 16, 2020, 07:22 PM Apr 2020

I still don't get how the R0 reproduction rate of 2.5 will allow any states to open up....

Even Montana, North Dakota, etc that Trump mentioned.

It seems that flare ups will happen everywhere. And then lock downs happen again.

Until we have an accessible antibody test to identify who is immune (which no one knows how long) that the spreading will never end until a vaccine is ready.

The math seems not to be in our favor.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I still don't get how the R0 reproduction rate of 2.5 will allow any states to open up.... (Original Post) USALiberal Apr 2020 OP
I guess they don't pay attention to R0 calculations. OAITW r.2.0 Apr 2020 #1
***CORRECTION !! *** CDC Raised Ro of CV19 to 5.7 uponit7771 Apr 2020 #2
Wow, that is really scary! nt USALiberal Apr 2020 #3
Link included ... yeah, these people are blind or they think we're all stupid. Watch the movie uponit7771 Apr 2020 #5
But Trump wants all of the huge stadiums and arenas in Montana & North Dakota filled up ASAP! bullwinkle428 Apr 2020 #4
+1, cause he feels he can "wack it" when it comes to the hot spots uponit7771 Apr 2020 #7
TY! SheltieLover Apr 2020 #9
Merkel made more sense and I don't understand German. gibraltar72 Apr 2020 #6
lol uponit7771 Apr 2020 #8
Montana, ND low because they are early on the curve, not because of some magical immunity. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #10
The idea Turbineguy Apr 2020 #11

OAITW r.2.0

(24,286 posts)
1. I guess they don't pay attention to R0 calculations.
Thu Apr 16, 2020, 07:30 PM
Apr 2020

Trump voters in rural states won't get the socialist COVID-19 virus. Only happens in the cities where everyone votes Democrat. Hahahahaha.

uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
2. ***CORRECTION !! *** CDC Raised Ro of CV19 to 5.7
Thu Apr 16, 2020, 07:30 PM
Apr 2020
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/7/20-0282_article


, we calculated a median R0 value of 5.7 (95% CI 3.8–8.9). We further show that active surveillance, contact tracing, quarantine, and early strong social distancing efforts are needed to stop transmission of the virus.

uponit7771

(90,301 posts)
5. Link included ... yeah, these people are blind or they think we're all stupid. Watch the movie
Thu Apr 16, 2020, 07:33 PM
Apr 2020

... Contagion, the Ro of that virus was 3 ... we're screwed if they don't have a rolling per capita testing testing rate that gives us a forward looking insite of hot spots so we don't have to "wack it" like Trump said today.

Turbineguy

(37,285 posts)
11. The idea
Thu Apr 16, 2020, 08:00 PM
Apr 2020

and the whole reason for putting trump in there was to let the idiots run the country for a while and see how it goes.

Like Trickle-Down Economics, the problem is we keep trying to stop the spread of the disease. Unless everybody is dead, how will we know that it's working?

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