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Baitball Blogger

(46,684 posts)
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:16 PM Apr 2020

An idea for anyone who follows these things: Track the inevitable spikes of COVID-19.

The data is out there. Every city, county and state has daily totals. It just takes someone to collect that data as it happens to see if there are spikes each time there is a Republican sanctioned congregation event.

We should have one spiking now in the state of Wisconsin.

In two or three days, watch one go up in Jacksonville, Florida.

Can someone put the data on DU so we can show a definitive cause and effect?

Just a suggestion.

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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An idea for anyone who follows these things: Track the inevitable spikes of COVID-19. (Original Post) Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 OP
Here's the Wisconsin spike: Looks like there is a 7 to 9+ day lag, depending how you count it Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #1
Thanks! A sad graphic, that pinpoints where the republicans in WI definitely caused deaths in WI SWBTATTReg Apr 2020 #3
+1 crickets Apr 2020 #17
Wow. Just WOW! Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 #6
Can you provide the source ? Geechie Apr 2020 #15
It came from Twitter via the third link in this link, but it has been deleted for some reason Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #16
Very good idea. I expect the same in all localities where the authorities are listening to the ... SWBTATTReg Apr 2020 #2
The next two weeks will roll the dice, especially in rural red state America Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #4
The kid who runs ncov19.live which is one of the best Squinch Apr 2020 #5
You would think white hats would give him a mirror site. Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 #7
I don't know what that means but it sounds like a good thing. Squinch Apr 2020 #8
White hats are good hackers. Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 #11
But he's just a 17 year old kid. If someone official told me to stop Squinch Apr 2020 #13
Clever kid, but there is no evidence. It is up. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence Bernardo de La Paz Apr 2020 #9
The numbers on the site are from Thursday. He's showing Squinch Apr 2020 #10
I think we're going to see a bunch. cwydro Apr 2020 #12
Just like we heard about the zombie who caught coronavirus and died, Baitball Blogger Apr 2020 #14

Bernardo de La Paz

(48,965 posts)
1. Here's the Wisconsin spike: Looks like there is a 7 to 9+ day lag, depending how you count it
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:21 PM
Apr 2020

Looks like there is a 9-11 day lag until a spike can be confirmed: 5 days for infections to get noticed, 2 days for lab turnaround, and at least 3 days for 3-day moving average to confirm it with some confidence, in real time. About 7 days when looked at as history.



SWBTATTReg

(22,077 posts)
3. Thanks! A sad graphic, that pinpoints where the republicans in WI definitely caused deaths in WI
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:25 PM
Apr 2020

to occur when they didn't have to. I hope that those with the power to do so, will go after those on the republican side who demanded that elections still be held, regardless of the consequences to their voters. There must be consequences, there must be an accounting for their actions.

Geechie

(862 posts)
15. Can you provide the source ?
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:50 PM
Apr 2020

I’ve been wondering the same thing and would like to know if there’s a site I can bookmark and come back to in about a week after all these rallies ...
Thank you for this! Very telling.

SWBTATTReg

(22,077 posts)
2. Very good idea. I expect the same in all localities where the authorities are listening to the ...
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:22 PM
Apr 2020

idiots demanding that their beaches be reopened, and businesses be allowed to open. I suspect from a business front, that a lot of businesses won't reopen, being that if they do, and some of their employees get the CV/get sick, they'll be sued endlessly, as they should be, putting their people in harms' way.

Bernardo de La Paz

(48,965 posts)
4. The next two weeks will roll the dice, especially in rural red state America
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:28 PM
Apr 2020

They are showing signs of blowing up (rapid climb in infections). This hasn't and can't (at this stage) penetrate the awareness of baggers, except perhaps that plant in South Dakota. The Wisconsin data is showing that infection starts up again 5 days later and is detected a couple of days after (lab test round trip) and confirmed a couple days later when 3 day moving average confirms it. Call it 10 days.

With the baggers pushing and tRump et al, there will full churches in lots of places for the next two weekends. Then about April 27 alarm bells will be ringing in surprising places. However the lag in awareness for the red hatters will be one to five days later. Right about when tRump will crowing about "opening up" and people will surging together in groups as if released and not ready to tolerate the slightest bit of physical distancing.

By then it will be too late.

Baitball Blogger

(46,684 posts)
11. White hats are good hackers.
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:53 PM
Apr 2020

I am probably extending the meaning. But mirror sites are just different launching sites for his material.

Squinch

(50,918 posts)
13. But he's just a 17 year old kid. If someone official told me to stop
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:00 PM
Apr 2020

doing something when I was 17, I'd stop.

But thanks for teaching me something new.

Bernardo de La Paz

(48,965 posts)
9. Clever kid, but there is no evidence. It is up. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:35 PM
Apr 2020

If there is evidence, present it.

Otherwise, please don't spread baseless viral rumours.

Squinch

(50,918 posts)
10. The numbers on the site are from Thursday. He's showing
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 04:41 PM
Apr 2020

675k infected in the US, for example. The current number is 718K.

And I am not spreading baseless viral rumors, I am telling what a DUer was told when he asked why there have been no updates. Do with the information what you will.

Baitball Blogger

(46,684 posts)
14. Just like we heard about the zombie who caught coronavirus and died,
Sat Apr 18, 2020, 05:30 PM
Apr 2020

We'll probably hear similar fates for Zombie no. 1, 2 and 3.

That must have been some cattle call.

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