1 in 1000 NYC residents have died of Sars-CoV-2

[Recursion]

A sobering perspective

https://bdkhealth.com/1-in-1000-new-york-city-residents-have-now-died-from-coronavirus/

As of April 19, 2020, 12:00 GMT, New York City has reported 131,273 cases with 8,632 covi19 deaths.

According to the data 1,508 in 100,000 people have affected from Covi19 causing 102 deaths per 100,000 people.

NYC’s population in 2019 was around 8.6 Million.

New York City’s death per capita is on par with Italy’s Lombardy.

[SheltieLover]

1. LOCK HIM UP!

[lindysalsagal]

2. I know of one who was just admitted and on a ventilator

My friend is next-of-kin. Gonna be heartbreaking and fiendishly frustrating.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

3. 1 in 80 are known to have been infected. . . . nt

[Sanity Claws]

4. And we are not even done with it

Damn.

I wonder how many will die from it. Maybe 1 out of 500?

[Bernardo de La Paz]

5. Mortality rate among known cases is about 7.4%.

That number is affected by under-testing, and by under-counting of deaths due to dying at home etc.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

6. NYC normal death rate all causes is about 150/day. Been running 600 lately

Not a reference for that figure, but good info here: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-true-scale-of-excess-mortality-in-nyc with other links in it to follow (April 7).

A chart from James Tozer on twitter

[gristy]

7. Presumably that is a death rate being plotted there

The chart does not say. Deaths per month maybe? As of March 28th (~ the last date plotted on the chart), New York City had a total of 672 deaths attributed to COVID-19.

This chart is confusing at best. Maybe just flat out wrong. Who's James Tozer, anyways?

The article at your talkingpointsmemo link is a lot clearer than that chart...

[Bernardo de La Paz]

8. It is a weekly death rate. Normal death rate of 150 x 7 about 1050 per week normally. . . nt

[gristy]

10. Is not the chart in error then?

It shows a weekly death rate of 1000/week on ~3/28, which is not possible since there had been only 672 deaths total in New York City attributed to covid-19 as of 3/28.
The data that I've been tracking and plotting myself is from here: https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data

[Bernardo de La Paz]

11. No, that is consistent. That is the normal weekly death rate. Excess deaths showed up next week and

have been getting worse ever since.

Don't forget that lockdown means fewer traffic accident deaths, fewer mugging deaths, etc.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

9. James Tozer is a data journalist for the Economist magazine which is highly respected

Link to tweet

which is part of this thread:

Link to tweet