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UncleNoel

(864 posts)
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 08:28 PM Apr 2020

Biden Leads Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania: Campaign Update (error in article corrected)

https://www.yahoo.com/news/puerto-rico-not-hold-primary-191228140.html
[Bloomberg] Emma Kinery ,Bloomberg•April 23, 2020

snip//

(Bloomberg) -- Joe Biden has significant leads over President Donald Trump in Michigan and Pennsylvania, two Fox News polls showed.

The polls both found the presumptive Democratic nominee leading the incumbent president by 8 points in the swing states, which could have a decisive role in the November election. Fox found Biden ahead in Michigan 49% to 41% and leading 50% to 48% in Pennsylvania.


This is incorrect. The following from 538: Pa. Apr 18-21, 2020
A- Fox News 803 RV Biden 50% 42% Trump Biden +8
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

Trump narrowly won both states in 2016.

The polls were conducted April 18-21 and had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.

Nationally, Biden leads Trump 48% to 42% in the RealClearPolitics polling average.

Biden to Speak at Granddaughter’s Graduation (3:39 p.m.)


Going in the right direction, but we need to keep it going well into the double digits. Ever vigilant.
21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Biden Leads Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania: Campaign Update (error in article corrected) (Original Post) UncleNoel Apr 2020 OP
Good news, but a lot of time left... Wounded Bear Apr 2020 #1
Too close in Penn. exboyfil Apr 2020 #2
It's 50-42, not sure why it says 50-48. Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #14
Yeah! I should have checked it out with 538. Fixed it with an update. UncleNoel Apr 2020 #17
Probably a typo on their end. Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #20
NICE !!! Keep up the swing state reports, national level polls don't mean as much uponit7771 Apr 2020 #3
After what happened in 2016 I don't believe a one of these polls. redstatebluegirl Apr 2020 #4
Pennsylvania is within the margin of error. That doesn't sound so good. mucifer Apr 2020 #5
Biden leads 50-42 in PA - the number is wrong. Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #15
K&R Blue Owl Apr 2020 #6
It should be 70 to 30 at least ... jimlup Apr 2020 #7
A new Fox News poll has Biden leading Trump 50-42 in PENNSYLVANIA. Hortensis Apr 2020 #8
Right. This is the correct number. The article got it wrong, but I've updated the thread . UncleNoel Apr 2020 #19
Just as long as we're close to the double digits we need. :) Hortensis Apr 2020 #21
GOTV, my friends. muntrv Apr 2020 #9
Biden will crush trump. LakeArenal Apr 2020 #10
That PA # is wrong. It's 50-42 not 50-48. Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #11
2% is the opposite of a significant lead, where the margin of error is 3.5%. pnwmom Apr 2020 #12
The number is wrong. Biden leads 50-42 in PA. Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #13
Thanks. Fixed it with correction. UncleNoel Apr 2020 #16
That's much better. Thanks! pnwmom Apr 2020 #18

redstatebluegirl

(12,265 posts)
4. After what happened in 2016 I don't believe a one of these polls.
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 08:31 PM
Apr 2020

I am going to work like we are 10 points behind until the day after the election.

jimlup

(7,968 posts)
7. It should be 70 to 30 at least ...
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 08:39 PM
Apr 2020

I really don't understand what is wrong with some people. As a Michigan resident I have to wonder. I guess I live in a deep blue region but are the red regions really that dense?

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
8. A new Fox News poll has Biden leading Trump 50-42 in PENNSYLVANIA.
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 08:39 PM
Apr 2020
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-leads-trump-in-battleground-pennsylvania

With most Pennsylvania voters concerned about catching coronavirus and nearly six-in-ten believing the Trump administration was too slow to act, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in that battleground state.

Biden is preferred over Trump by 8 percentage points (50-42 percent), according to a Fox News Poll of Pennsylvania registered voters. ... Eight percent are undecided.




UncleNoel

(864 posts)
19. Right. This is the correct number. The article got it wrong, but I've updated the thread .
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:08 PM
Apr 2020

Thanks for posting.

pnwmom

(108,960 posts)
12. 2% is the opposite of a significant lead, where the margin of error is 3.5%.
Wed Apr 22, 2020, 08:47 PM
Apr 2020

So they're basically tied in PA.

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