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Quixote1818

(28,928 posts)
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 09:32 PM Apr 2020

American Migration Patterns Should Terrify the GOP Millennial movers have hastened the growth of lef

Derek Thompson
Staff writer at The Atlantic

Liberals in America have a density problem. Across the country, Democrats dominate in cities, racking up excessive margins in urban cores while narrowly losing in suburban districts and sparser states. Because of their uneven distribution of votes, the party consistently loses federal elections despite winning the popular vote.

The most famous case was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton lost the presidential election despite her 2.4-million-vote margin. Clinton carried Manhattan and Brooklyn by approximately 1 million ballots—more than Donald Trump’s margins of victory in the states of Florida, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania combined.

But 2016 wasn’t a fluke. Neither was 2000, when Al Gore lost the election despite winning 500,000 more votes than George W. Bush. A recent paper from researchers at the University of Texas at Austin concluded that Republicans are expected to win 65 percent of presidential contests in which they narrowly lose the popular vote.

More: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/09/american-migration-patterns-should-terrify-gop/598153/

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American Migration Patterns Should Terrify the GOP Millennial movers have hastened the growth of lef (Original Post) Quixote1818 Apr 2020 OP
half million blue state dems dispersed to 5 states might get us 10 senate seats! msongs Apr 2020 #1
I think a lot is going to depend on the census....and the slow blue turn in others. Xolodno Apr 2020 #2
New York, Pennsylvania and a few blue states will lose electoral this census jimfields33 Apr 2020 #4
Texas gets closer every two years......... Takket Apr 2020 #5
The Repuke party will break up if it tries to tack to the center. roamer65 Apr 2020 #3

msongs

(67,395 posts)
1. half million blue state dems dispersed to 5 states might get us 10 senate seats!
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 09:43 PM
Apr 2020

Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North and South Dakota.

Xolodno

(6,390 posts)
2. I think a lot is going to depend on the census....and the slow blue turn in others.
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 09:51 PM
Apr 2020

Electoral votes are based on Representatives and Senators. If a Red State loses Congressional Representatives and a Blue State actually increases them....sooner or later attrition will take over.

On the flip side, a few Red States have been luring a few businesses away from Blue....and slowly turning them purple.

jimfields33

(15,769 posts)
4. New York, Pennsylvania and a few blue states will lose electoral this census
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 10:16 PM
Apr 2020

But North Carolina, Georgia and Texas are some that will gain which are either blue or heading that way. We will be fine I believe.

Takket

(21,560 posts)
5. Texas gets closer every two years.........
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 10:19 PM
Apr 2020

once we get the Democrats in control and have an actual path to citizenship for immigrants, Texas will go blue and the GOP will have no path to victory for the forseeable future in presidential politics,

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
3. The Repuke party will break up if it tries to tack to the center.
Fri Apr 24, 2020, 10:00 PM
Apr 2020

There is no way it can do it and stay intact.

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