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calimary

(81,040 posts)
Mon Apr 27, 2020, 03:45 PM Apr 2020

The Daily Dread - Tracking the spread, 4/27/20

All times Pacific, source: Johns Hopkins/NBC News

Interesting -
The worldwide confirmed cases ticks up, literally, by the minute. Compare -
At 9:29am - 2,989,999
At 9:30am - 2,991,738
At 10:04am - 2,991,940
At 10:11am - 2,992,333
At 10:33am - 2,997,250
At 10:35am - 2,997,325
At 11:02am - 2,997,325
At 11:03am - 2,997,363
At 11:05am - 2,998,400
At 11:07am - 2,998,579
At 11:09am - 2,998,745
At 11:11am - 2,999,014 - uh oh - geez, we just ticked up to two million, nine-hundred and NINETY-NINE...
...and these are just the screen shots I was able to grab between all the other graphics, guest interviews, chyron changes, and commercial breaks.

And as for the broader breakout -
At 9:29am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,989,999
Deaths worldwide - 207,219
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052

9:30am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,738
Deaths worldwide - 207,552
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052

At 10:04am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,940
Deaths worldwide - 207,890
Confirmed cases US - 975,208
Deaths US - 55,390

At 10:11am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,992,333
Deaths worldwide - 207,899
Confirmed cases US - 975,601
Deaths US - 55,399

At 10:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,250
Deaths worldwide - 208,116
Confirmed cases US - 978,387
Deaths - 55,521

At 10:35am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,325
Deaths worldwide - 208,118
Confirmed cases US - 978,462
Deaths US - 55,523

At 11:03am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,363
Deaths worldwide - 210,521
Confirmed cases US - 978,500
Deaths US - 55,523

At 11:07am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,579
Deaths worldwide - 210,557
Confirmed cases US - 979,716
Deaths US - 55,559

At 11:09am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,745
Deaths worldwide - 210,560
Confirmed cases US - 979,882
Deaths - 55,562

At 11:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,999,014
Deaths worldwide - 210,655
Confirmed cases US - 980,151
Deaths US - 55,657

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The Daily Dread - Tracking the spread, 4/27/20 (Original Post) calimary Apr 2020 OP
Update ... calimary Apr 2020 #1
So out of morbid curiosity, I did some math to see when we might hit a million confirmed cases. calimary Apr 2020 #2

calimary

(81,040 posts)
1. Update ...
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:09 AM
Apr 2020

And as for the broader breakout -
At 9:29am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,989,999
Deaths worldwide - 207,219
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052

9:30am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,738
Deaths worldwide - 207,552
Confirmed cases US - 975,006
Deaths US - 55,052

At 10:04am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,991,940
Deaths worldwide - 207,890
Confirmed cases US - 975,208
Deaths US - 55,390

At 10:11am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,992,333
Deaths worldwide - 207,899
Confirmed cases US - 975,601
Deaths US - 55,399

At 10:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,250
Deaths worldwide - 208,116
Confirmed cases US - 978,387
Deaths - 55,521

At 10:35am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,325
Deaths worldwide - 208,118
Confirmed cases US - 978,462
Deaths US - 55,523

At 11:03am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,997,363
Deaths worldwide - 210,521
Confirmed cases US - 978,500
Deaths US - 55,523

At 11:07am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,579
Deaths worldwide - 210,557
Confirmed cases US - 979,716
Deaths US - 55,559

At 11:09am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,998,745
Deaths worldwide - 210,560
Confirmed cases US - 979,882
Deaths - 55,562

At 11:33am
Confirmed cases worldwide - 2,999,014
Deaths worldwide - 210,655
Confirmed cases US - 980,151
Deaths US - 55,657


At 2:55pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,003,291 - there it went. Up to three million.
Deaths worldwide - 210,934
Confirmed cases US - 984,428
Deaths US - 55,936

At 6:07pm
Domestically:
Confirmed cases - 985,548
Deaths - 55,983

At 8:03pm
Confirmed cases worldwide - 3,006,230
Deaths worldwide - 211,143
Confirmed cases US - 987,367
Deaths - 56,145


Look how the numbers rise. Worldwide confirmed cases ticking up, literally, by the minute.
Compare -
At 9:29am - 2,989,999
At 9:30am - 2,991,738
At 10:04am - 2,991,940
At 10:11am - 2,992,333
At 10:33am - 2,997,250
At 10:35am - 2,997,325
At 11:02am - 2,997,325
At 11:03am - 2,997,363
At 11:05am - 2,998,400
At 11:07am - 2,998,579
At 11:09am - 2,998,745
At 11:11am - 2,999,014
At 2:55pm - 3,003,291
At 8:03pm - 3,006,230

calimary

(81,040 posts)
2. So out of morbid curiosity, I did some math to see when we might hit a million confirmed cases.
Tue Apr 28, 2020, 04:30 AM
Apr 2020

Assuming the last figure of Monday evening, confirmed cases US, 987,367.

The first figure of the morning I had, at 9:29am, was 975,006. An arbitrary start of the day, since we slept in.

If you subtract that figure, 975,006 from the last such stat of the evening, 987,367, the difference is 12,361.

Okay, then, using that number (12,361) as the day's increase, seems to me you can make a somewhat educated guess based on that. Assuming we'd see the same increase in Tuesday's numbers, you'd add that number (12,361) to Monday's final figure (987,367), and get 999,728. Which is only 272 less than a million.

Therefore, based on this set of calculations, we're likely to reach a million confirmed COVID-19 cases sometime Tuesday, late in the day.

Judging on the rate of increase, I wouldn't expect it to take Wednesday to reach that dismal milestone.

Tomorrow will tell.

So much suffering...

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