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RandySF

(58,488 posts)
Mon May 4, 2020, 03:34 PM May 2020

Key coronavirus model will revise projections to nearly 135,000 US deaths

An influential coronavirus model often cited by the White House said in a press release that it plans to revise its projections to nearly 135,000 Covid-19 deaths in the United States, an increase that one of its researchers tied to relaxed social distancing and increased mobility.

The model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, previously predicted 72,433 deaths as of Monday morning. A press release from IHME said the full set of new projections will be released later this afternoon.

Ali Mokdad, a professor of Health Metrics Sciences at IHME, referenced the updated projections on CNN earlier today, but said he couldn’t provide the specific number.

“We are seeing, of course, a rise in projected deaths for several reasons,” he told CNN’s John King on Inside Politics. “One of them is increased mobility before the relaxation, premature relaxation of social distancing, we’re adding more presumptive deaths as well, and we’re seeing a lot of outbreaks in the Midwest, for example.”

He said multiple variables impact infections – like heat, testing capacity and population density – but “the most important one is mobility.”




https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/us-coronavirus-update-05-04-20/h_18a3fa30e62fa417f6402308aaf3c55b

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Key coronavirus model will revise projections to nearly 135,000 US deaths (Original Post) RandySF May 2020 OP
Trump: 100,000 deaths is successful live love laugh May 2020 #1
More winning. Voltaire2 May 2020 #2
As a comparison NewJeffCT May 2020 #3
What time frame is this over? Or is that the total deaths they think will happen? rurallib May 2020 #4

live love laugh

(13,079 posts)
1. Trump: 100,000 deaths is successful
Mon May 4, 2020, 03:41 PM
May 2020

RepubLIEclowns 🤡🎈: They are counting all deaths as Covid the hospitals get more money if they call it a Covid death.

NewJeffCT

(56,828 posts)
3. As a comparison
Mon May 4, 2020, 03:49 PM
May 2020

The population of Columbia, SC is a ittle under 135,000 and Charleston, SC a bit over 135,000

Imagine losing a city that size?

rurallib

(62,379 posts)
4. What time frame is this over? Or is that the total deaths they think will happen?
Mon May 4, 2020, 03:52 PM
May 2020

Because we will fly by the 72,433 this week and the reopenings are just beginning. That 135,000 number could be surpassed by the end of May as the rate increases.

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