Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsArizona Senate GE: Kelly (D) 51% (+13) McSally 38%
Link to tweet
Wow, are they a good pollster or not, I don't know them.
But if this is right, McSally is going to get flattened.
From the Republican uh-oh department: Arizona Sen. Martha McSally is sliding in the polls, dropping four percentage points in a month.
McSally now trails Democrat Mark Kelly by 13 points, according to the latest tracking poll by OH Predictive Insights.
While the April poll of 600 likely voters favored Kelly 51% to McSallys 42%, in May its now 51%-38%.
The poll shows independents breaking more than 2-1 for Kelly.
McSally is doing terribly, pollster Mike Noble told me on Monday. Theres no way to find a bright spot on that one.
And thats not even the bad news for McSally.
The bad news comes from Maricopa County, where Republicans rule.
At least, they did rule, until Democrat Kyrsten Sinema defeated McSally there in 2018 -- stealing 88 mostly-suburban precincts that normally would go to the Republican nominee.
In May 2020, Kelly has climbed to 54% in Maricopa County while McSally has dropped to 36%.
Just think about that for a moment. Kelly has gone from a five-point advantage in Maricopa County to an 18-point cruise.
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
7 replies, 650 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (11)
ReplyReply to this post
7 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Arizona Senate GE: Kelly (D) 51% (+13) McSally 38% (Original Post)
sunonmars
May 2020
OP
Not to mention 538 also shows this pollster with a SLIGHT Republican lean, if anything.
Grown2Hate
May 2020
#6
tman
(983 posts)1. Great. Bodes well for Biden also.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)4. Biden 50 / Trump 43 (+7)
sunonmars
(8,656 posts)5. Excellent
Johnny2X2X
(19,038 posts)2. 538 grades them B/C
Pew research is also rated B/C, so a slightly above average poll in reliability.
This is huge!
sunonmars
(8,656 posts)3. If she's getting flattened in Maricopa, she's done.
Grown2Hate
(2,010 posts)6. Not to mention 538 also shows this pollster with a SLIGHT Republican lean, if anything.
+0.9 %, but still with a Republican lean. GREAT news in this poll.
StarryNite
(9,443 posts)7. We can do this Arizona!