General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsLooking like a MASSIVE Biden landslide in November! (400 EVs?)
Check out the latest 538 polls:
Ga.
May 16-18, 2020
B/C
Civiqs
1,339
RV
Biden
48%
47%
Trump
Biden
+1
President: general election
Fla.
May 14-17, 2020
C/D
Point Blank Political
2,149
LV
Biden
52%
48%
Trump
Biden
+5
President: general election
Fla.
May 14-17, 2020
C/D
Point Blank Political
2,149
LV
Biden
45%
44%
Trump
Biden
+1
President: general election
Va.
May 3-16, 2020
B/C
Roanoke College
563
LV
Biden
51%
39%
Trump
Biden
+12
President: general election
Ariz.
May 9-11, 2020
B/C
OH Predictive Insights
600
LV
Biden
50%
43%
Trump
Biden
+7
President: general election
Tenn.
Apr 22-May 1, 2020
B/C
East Tennessee State University
536
LV
Biden
36%
53%
Trump
Trump
+17
Huge national leads. Leading in all the key states. Of course, anything can happen but, as long as we don't screw things up, we're looking at something perhaps approaching 400 EVs, the House, and the Senate in November baby!
SoonerPride
(12,286 posts)The American people are sick of their shit and their shitty president
peggysue2
(10,828 posts)That being said, no time to let up with the pounding and reminding and truth slinging. That and a fierce GOTV strategy will take this to the finish line for a win not only for the Democratic Party but the country overall. Our future is hanging in the balance.
We can do this!!! Because we must.
Never forget, never forgive.
COLGATE4
(14,732 posts)we should be organizing, planning and working as if we were 8 points behind. We cannot take anything for granted and we certainly cannot take another 4 years of Dummy.
Tommy_Carcetti
(43,166 posts)The rules are, if your pitcher is throwing a no-hitter, never, ever mention that to him.
Initech
(100,060 posts)still_one
(92,116 posts)which is why we much be vigilant and insure a huge turnout
coti
(4,612 posts)to both push back against the election fraud and the Russians and to destroy any argument Trump is going to try to make to not acknowledge the results. No mercy.
Ms. Toad
(34,059 posts)Talk like this encourages the same kind of complacency that contributed to Trump's 2016 win.
NewsCenter28
(1,835 posts)If Toad was way ahead and Biden looked like a loser, I'd tune out the news and the campaign; and probably not even bother to vote in November. The fact that Uncle Joe is doing so well only energizes me more for the election. Who wants to go out and vote when you know you're going to lose anyway? Going out to vote for a winner on the other hand feels darn good.
The polls actually showed a tight race in 2016. So, if someone stayed home because they thought Hillary had it in the bag, they obviously weren't paying enough attention.
Polls prove this. People are more likely to answer polls when they feel their candidate is doing well and vice versa, according to the research.
Now, of course, I'm not saying that Toad doesn't have nasty surprises in store that may narrow the race but I think the baseline of this election is a Biden landslide. It's up to the KGOP to try to revert that baseline.
Ms. Toad
(34,059 posts)honest.abe
(8,663 posts)I think Democrats tend to show up to vote more when things are looking optimistic. If things look dire we tend to give up. Of course that is a broad generalization and not all voters are like that. I for one will show up not matter what.
Ms. Toad
(34,059 posts)honest.abe
(8,663 posts)Democratic voters feeling overly optimistic would not have been in the top 10.
redstatebluegirl
(12,265 posts)Trolls are using this tactic to get our base to be less aggressive in our GOTV work.
Girard442
(6,067 posts)If you feel like you may be getting overconfident, revisit the history of a few previous elections.
Wounded Bear
(58,634 posts)GOTV!!!
Budi
(15,325 posts)(Or..Why McConnell won't vote on it & Trump won't sign it.)
It gives power to the American people .
Thanks to all House members for supporting & Voting for The HERO'S Act.
Link to tweet
Brainfodder
(6,423 posts)Will have killed off enough of his own supporters by then, maybe?
It's only MAY, this jackass still has 5.5 months of daily deluge and growing ire to content with!
POTATOgate is just more hilarious stooge nonsense, his brand?
oswaldactedalone
(3,490 posts)and help others.
doc03
(35,324 posts)he will stir up violence. I can see those nuts in DC with
AR15s. Barr was right about one thing the winners write the History. If he loses he will go down as the worst presdent.
Midnight Writer
(21,738 posts)Doreen
(11,686 posts)More than anything we need to fight like hell against gerrymandering and Russian ( outside interference.)
I am not worried about Biden getting the popular vote but I see a Hillary scenario again if we do not fight the right things.
11 Bravo
(23,926 posts)I think that my state (VA) s a relatively safe Biden win. But I will be making calls, and helping transport people to the polls in November.
I don't want Trump defeated. I want him bitch-slapped. I want him curb-stomped. I want him embarrassed to ever show his ugly orange mug in public for the rest of his miserable life.