Quinnipiac: Biden +8 in PA & 3 in FL.

[Drunken Irishman]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/515002-quinnipiac-shows-biden-with-8-point-lead-in-pennsylvania

[jorgevlorgan]

1. Interesting how the nat poll was so close

But so good for him in pa

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Their national poll had him +8.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. The Quinn nat'l poll had him up ten

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3671

Folks are looking for a level of precision polls just can't apply.

[jorgevlorgan]

8. Nvm

I must have confused it with another

[OnDoutside]

6. I'm surprised by the PA figure, as most polls have been putting it

an awful lot closer.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I can live with those results. The Last Quinn poll showing Biden up 13 in FL was a huge outlier.

They deserve credit for publishing it.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. It was also a RV model - these are LV.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. Yeah but you wouldn't expect a 10 point decline from RV to LV.

Maybe one or two, tops four. Don't forget we are doing well with college-educated voters and education is positively related to voting; as educational level goes up propensity to vote goes up.

O won FL by 3 in 08.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. College graduate percentage in electorate goes up 2% every 4 years

On average. It was 40% in 2016 so should be 42% this year. That helps Biden, given the recent educational trend. Not only do college graduates vote more dependably but now they are voting blue.

Some of the states we are relying on aren't moving as quickly as the nation toward more educated. That's one problem in the heartland states. Pennsylvania was above the national average at 34% college graduates in 2004 but dropped well below the national average at 36% in 2016